Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…? June 30 48.5%
June 22 3.5%
Claude Prediction Markets
Explore Claude prediction markets, follow current probabilities, and track active outcomes as market expectations shift.
Total Active Markets 8
Total Volume $47.26M
Open Interest $3.33M
Total Liquidity $5.42M
Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…? 
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? No 74.5%
Yes 25.5%
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? 45%+ 26.5%
50%+ 14.5%
55%+ 2.9%
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? July 1 33.5%
June 26 19.5%
June 22 3.1%
