AI bubble burst in 2026? No 88.8%
Yes 11.3%
Tech Prediction Markets
Track tech prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for AI, software, hardware, startups, space, and major technology events.
Total Active Markets 18
Total Volume $26.67M
Open Interest $4.04M
Total Liquidity $3.79M
AI bubble burst in 2026? 
Anthropic IPO date December 31, 2026 94%
October 31, 2026 91.5%
October 15, 2026 72.5%
+2 more outcomes
GPT-6 release date December 31, 2026 68.5%
November 30, 2026 60.5%
October 31, 2026 45%
+3 more outcomes
Next Google Gemini Pro Model release date? No release by August 31 97.5%
August 31 1.2%
August 30 0.2%
+2 more outcomes
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 October 31 95.2%
Successful splash down? 86%
Super Heavy booster explodes? 82.5%
+5 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Anthropic 59.8%
SpaceX 40%
OpenAI 1%
+9 more outcomes
OpenAI IPO date March 31, 2027 55%
June 30, 2027 51%
December 31, 2026 14.5%
+2 more outcomes
OpenAI’s Astra release date? October 31 89.5%
September 30 78.7%
September 15 56.5%
+1 more outcome
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announce date? December 31, 2027 46.5%
June 30, 2027 30.5%
February 28, 2027 22.5%
+3 more outcomes
OpenAI valuation 2026 $1.0T 68%
$1.25T 39.5%
$800B 32.5%
+11 more outcomes
Best Chinese AI Company end of August? Alibaba 95.2%
Moonshot 2.5%
Z.ai 1.9%
+8 more outcomes
Next Mythos-Class Model release date October 31 92.5%
September 30 87.5%
September 15 76.5%
+6 more outcomes
