Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 33
Total Volume $3.55B
Open Interest $127.33M
Total Liquidity $248.61M
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
Powered byPredictionBubblesUpUnchangedDownUnavailable
Market overview33 markets
| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $73.28M |  Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 34.9% | +0.2 pp (24h) | $133.76M | Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 23.6% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $705.77M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 37.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $194.12K | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 14.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.91M | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 91.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.96M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 16.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $66.11M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 52.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $12.04M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 4% | -0.6 pp (24h) | $41.4M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 83.3% | -1 pp (24h) | $96.08M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 95.3% | +0.2 pp (24h) | $40.99M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 19.1% | +1.15 pp (24h) | $1.28B | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 5.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $11.6M | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 64.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $2.32M | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 7.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $17.92M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 21.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $13.78M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 41% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.59K | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 12.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $24.32M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 87.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $11.12M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Karen Bass | 64.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $13.63M | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Flávio Bolsonaro | 51.9% | +0.7 pp (24h) | $149.99M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 51.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $704.25M | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 3.2% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $35.45M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 53.6% | +0.6 pp (24h) | $37.41M | Polymarket | |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner | Politics | United Russia (ER) | 99.1% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.72M | Polymarket | |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Politics | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 76.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $324.63K | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 82.4% | -1.95 pp (24h) | $39.45M | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 28.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $3.73M | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 52.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $2.44M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $8.46M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 30.5% | -4 pp (24h) | $3.63M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 10.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $17.62M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 5% | -1.75 pp (24h) | $115.04K | Polymarket |
