Prediction Markets

Fanatics Enters Prediction Markets via Crypto.com Partnership
The product is set to launch in the next couple weeks, Fanatics CEO Michael Rubin said on CNBC.

Asia Morning Briefing: Even Prediction Markets Didn’t See Bitcoin’s Sell-Off Coming
A fast reset in downside odds mirrors QCP’s warning of flat-footed pro desks, with Glassnode highlighting oversold momentum and moderating ETF outflows.

Prediction Markets Say U.S. Government Shutdown Days From Ending as Health Care Fight Looms
Polymarket traders see a 96% chance the record-long shutdown ends by mid-November, as the Senate passes a deal and pressure mounts on House Republicans to act.

Gemini Prepares to Offer Prediction Market Contracts: Bloomberg
The exchange founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss has discussed unveiling products in this area as soon as possible, according to a report on Tuesday.

Analysis: Coinbase's Armstrong Made Prediction Markets Look 'Fun.' Bill Ackman Made Them Look Real
A Coinbase CEO prank resolved one market with a single sentence. Ackman’s warning about “rigged odds” in a $22 million Polymarket election shows the opposite: it now takes institutional-scale money to move prices even 10%.

Analysis: Prediction Market Bettors Miscalculated Dutch Election Results
Both Polymarket and Kalshi traders ignored late polls showing D66 gaining ground, keeping Geert Wilders’ PVV priced as a sure thing until exit polls forced a repricing that erased millions in misplaced bets.

Blockchain-Based Polymarket Eyes U.S. Comeback by November: BBG
Polymarket previously announced it would launch a token and had acquired a CFTC-registered entity.

Trump Media Taps Crypto.com to Launch Prediction Markets on Truth Social
Truth Predict will let users bet on elections, Fed moves and more via a CFTC-registered exchange, making Truth Social the first social platform with native prediction markets.

Polymarket Seeks Investment at Valuation of $12B-$15B: Bloomberg
That level would mark a more than 10-fold increase since June, when Polymarket raised $200 million at a $1 billion valuation.

Jupiter DEX Launches Kalshi-Powered Prediction Market for F1 Mexico Grand Prix Winner
The platform, powered by Kalshi, allows users to speculate on the race outcome, with initial trading limits set to ensure stability.

