Prediction Markets
Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting
Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.
U.S. Election Betting Delay Would Be 'Devastating' to Kalshi, Firm Says
The prediction market site "has staked its future on ... these markets," it told a court, pushing back against the CFTC's motion for a two-week wait.
CFTC Pleads With Judge to Block Kalshi Election Contracts for 14 Days
The agency says it can't make "an informed decision" about whether to appeal the judge's decision in Kalshi's favor until it knows her as-yet-unpublished rationale.
Kalshi Cleared to Offer Congressional Prediction Markets in Victory Against CFTC
With two months to go before the election, the U.S.-regulated platform may now get a sliver of the 2024 political betting bonanza that's been dominated by crypto-based rival Polymarket.
Can Prediction Market Boom Continue After Election? This Crypto Team Has a Plan
Hedgehog Markets, which runs on the Solana blockchain, wants to do for prediction markets what Pump.fun did for meme coins: Let anyone roll their own.
Trump Unlikely to Drop Out of ABC Debate With Harris Despite Threats: Polymarket Traders
The mics probably won't be muted, traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform are signaling.
Did RFK Jr. Really 'Drop Out'? Polymarket Bettors Argue Over Contract Resolution
Also: Prediction market traders place bets on Telegram CEO's release from jail and on the spread of mpox.
Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket
Plus: Will Trump mention crypto in Elon Musk interview?; don't hold your breath for OpenAI's Sora.
Dragonfly, Crypto.com Weigh in on CFTC's Proposed Prediction Market Rules
Both parties argue the CFTC's move to regulate prediction markets is an overreach, with Dragonfly arguing that the recent 'Chevron' court ruling limits its power.
Coinbase Takes Aim at CFTC's Definition of 'Gaming' in Proposed Prediction Market Rules
Coinbase argues the definition is vague, and urges the CFTC to make determinations on a contract-by-contract basis rather than broad categorization
