预测市场

来自CoinDesk的最新预测市场新闻与分析，加密新闻领域的领导者。阅读深度报道、专家洞察和价格更新。

Finance

Coinbase AI因在世界杯开赛前错误发布比赛结果而引发强烈反对

首席执行官 Brian Armstrong 正接受调查，公司表示已进行更新以防止未来出现 AI 生成的不准确信息。

By Francisco RodriguesJul 6, 2026

Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring Norway's first goal against Brazil.

News Analysis

Kalshi 及预测市场领域在美国陷入多起复杂的法律争端

目前，行业在与各州游戏监管机构的多场较量中处境不利，但并非没有潜在的政府保护者。

By Jesse HamiltonJul 5, 2026

U.S. Supreme Court building in Washington, D.C. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

欧盟采取措施阻止散户投资者参与数十亿美元预测市场的爆炸性增长

该地区监管机构强调，在评估合规性时，产品作为衍生品的实际功能比其商业名称或标签更为重要。

By Francisco Rodrigues, AI BoostJul 4, 2026

Europe's markets regulator European Parliament (Guillaume Périgois/Unsplash)

Web3

神秘的 Solana 项目 World 亮相，成为完全链上预测市场

该平台现已在 Phantom 钱包及 world.xyz 上线，采用 Chainlink 作为其主要的市场数据预言机基础设施。

By Francisco RodriguesJul 1, 2026

Laptop with markets monitor and charts. (Kanchanara/Unsplash)

Finance

随着预测市场的整合，Kalshi 和 Polymarket 可能成为并购目标：伯恩斯坦

该经纪商表示，运营整合正在模糊交易所、经纪公司和体育投注之间的界限，为预测市场生态系统内的收购创造了条件。

By Will Canny, AI BoostJun 29, 2026

Crystal ball (Credit: Zhenyu LuoUnsplash/Modified by CoinDesk)

Videos

Does the Clarity Act have a human trafficking blind spot?

CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti open with two hot topics: Coinbase's SEC-registered AI agentic trading launch and tribal gaming operators' letter to Senators Thune and Schumer demanding that the CLARITY Act include a prohibition on prediction markets. Then Katie Boller Gosewisch, Executive Director of the Alliance to End Human Trafficking, joins to challenge CLARITY's Section 604, arguing that shielding DeFi developers from money-transmitter liability creates a "duty of care" gap that traffickers can exploit. Plus, Rebecca and Renato close by naming Meta as their Person of the Week for its reported move into points-based prediction markets.

Jun 26, 2026