Prediction Markets

Prediction markets get tailored U.S. guidance from former foe CFTC
The agency that once fought the events contracts platforms in court has now issued a new policy stance and is proposing permanent rules for oversight.

Senate Democrats push prediction market limits, including banning bets on war, death
One Senate Democrat's bill would write the prohibition into federal law even as the CFTC shifts toward a more permissive stance on event contracts.

Polymarket and Palantir team to protect integrity of sports betting as prediction markets face key moment
The new monitoring platform aims to detect suspicious trading as prediction markets face scrutiny over insider information.

CFTC chair highlights wide crypto agenda, including rules on DeFi, prediction markets
Commodity Futures Trading Commission chief Michael Selig updated his progress on guidance for DeFi developers, crypto derivatives and prediction markets.

Kalshi, Polymarket seeking $20 billion valuations in fundraising talks: WSJ
Kalshi, approved by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, was last valued at $11 billion, while Polymarket was valued at $9 billion.

Polymarket shelves nuclear detonation markets after outcry
Nuclear weapon-themed markets aren’t new on the prediction market platform, but public outcry about the contracts has apparently forced the platform to delete them.

Nasdaq follows Cboe joining world of 'binary bets' as prediction market craze hits Wall Street
The exchange has filed a proposal with the SEC to list yes-or-no bets on the Nasdaq-100 amid continued demand for prediction markets.

Coinbase’s head of litigation says states are 'gaslighting' on prediction markets
Ryan VanGrack says states are misrepresenting federal law as they move to block prediction markets.

Coinbase litigation head challenges state "gaslighting" over prediction markets
Coinbase’s VP of Legal and Global Head of Litigation, Ryan VanGrack, joins Jennifer Sanasie and Renato Mariotti to discuss why the company is challenging state regulators to ensure a unified federal framework for prediction markets. He also shares why he believes bipartisan market structure legislation is still on the table despite recent setbacks.

