Prediction Markets
Did RFK Jr. Really 'Drop Out'? Polymarket Bettors Argue Over Contract Resolution
Also: Prediction market traders place bets on Telegram CEO's release from jail and on the spread of mpox.
Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket
Plus: Will Trump mention crypto in Elon Musk interview?; don't hold your breath for OpenAI's Sora.
Dragonfly, Crypto.com Weigh in on CFTC's Proposed Prediction Market Rules
Both parties argue the CFTC's move to regulate prediction markets is an overreach, with Dragonfly arguing that the recent 'Chevron' court ruling limits its power.
Coinbase Takes Aim at CFTC's Definition of 'Gaming' in Proposed Prediction Market Rules
Coinbase argues the definition is vague, and urges the CFTC to make determinations on a contract-by-contract basis rather than broad categorization
Coinbase-Backed Vega Gets Into Prediction-Market Race, Chasing Polymarket
A major upgrade to Vega's blockchain and decentralized perpetuals exchange will allow users to bet on the outcomes of future events.
Harris Likely to Pick Pennsylvania Gov. Shapiro for Veep, Prediction Markets Say
Also: the Democrat gains on Trump but hasn't closed the gap, unlike in polls; Polymarket punters trade on Olympic women's boxing controversy.
Crypto VC Paradigm Invests in MetaDAO as Prediction Markets Boom
MetaDAO, a Solana experiment in governance by "futarchy," raised a total of $2.2 million to fund operations.
Biden's Exit Spurs Record $28M Daily Volume on Polymarket as Election Enters Uncharted Territory
Bets on the U.S. presidential election winner rocketed past $300 million, while the punters have put $200 million in a market for the potential Democrat's nominee and $10 million for the party's VP.
The Protocol: Polymarket Feeds Political Junkies, With Nate Silver
In this week's issue of CoinDesk's blockchain tech newsletter, we look at the "alternative news source" that Polymarket's prediction-betting site has become.
Polymarket Hires Nate Silver After Taking in $265M of Bets on U.S. Election: Report
The crypto-based prediction market has taken more than $400 million in bets this year.
