Prediction Markets

Prediction markets vs. insider trading: Founders admit blockchain transparency is the only defense
Prediction markets are increasingly being framed not as gambling platforms but as vehicles for monetizing information, though founders acknowledged the line can blur.

Why crypto VCs at Consensus Hong Kong are playing a 15-year game
With capital tightening, investors are backing “what’s working,” like stablecoins and tokenization, while selectively betting on AI and prediction markets.

Jump Trading to take small stakes in Polymarket, Kalshi: Bloomberg
Jump is set to take a fixed amount of equity in prediction market Kalshi, while its stake in Polymarket will grow over time depending on the trading capacity that the firm provides.

Gemini to exit U.K., EU and Australia, reduce staff by 25%, and focus on U.S. and prediction markets
The crypto exchange has instructed affected customers to sign up with eToro by the end of March for withdrawals, while deposits and new accounts have been suspended.

U.S. regulator declares do-over on prediction markets, throwing out Biden era 'frolic'
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission tumultuous legal fight with events-contracts firms is done, and its new leader is yanking previous policy efforts.

Opinion raises $20 million as prediction markets draw capital in a weak crypto market
The blockchain-based platform says it handles a third of global prediction-market volume, betting that onchain settlement and category diversification can sustain growth.

Cboe is looking to make trading as simple as a ‘yes or no’ rivalling prediction markets
The exchange is in early talks on a yes-or-no options product that mirrors platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi.

Bitcoin holds below $80,000 as January prediction contracts miss liquidation-driven slide: Asia Morning Briefing
Options markets signaled rising tail risk as liquidations mounted, but January prediction odds adjusted slowly as bitcoin volatility unfolded.

Coinbase rolls out prediction markets to all U.S. customers
The feature, first announced in December, was built in partnership with U.S.-regulated prediction market operator Kalshi.

Massachusetts judge poised to tell Kalshi to stop taking sports bets in state
The prediction market platform Kalshi will be preliminarily ordered by a superior court justice in Massachusetts to halt its online sports business there.

