Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets

Policy

Federal judge blocks Arizona from bringing criminal charges against Kalshi

Judge Michael Liburdi ordered Arizona not to bring any enforcement actions under state law against Kalshi, at least temporarily.

CFTC Chair Michael Selig

Markets

Kalshi now controls 89% of the U.S. prediction market as regulated trading takes over

As Kalshi captures a dominant 89% of the market, a high-stakes legal battle between federal regulators and individual states will determine if these platforms are treated as sophisticated financial tools or just another form of gambling.

CoinDesk

Markets

Binance adds prediction market to its app for millions of users

The integration covers gas costs to lower barriers for retail users. Binance doesn't operate the markets directly, instead providing access to a third-party application.

Binance logo on a smartphone (Vadim Artyukhin/Unsplash)

Markets

Polymarket reveals a 'full exchange upgrade' to take control of its own trading and truth

The $20 billion prediction market is overhauling its infrastructure and launching a native stablecoin to streamline trading as it prepares for a major U.S. expansion.

Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan (Paul Morigi/Getty Images for Haddad Media)

Policy

Appeals court blocks New Jersey from shutting down Kalshi's sports markets

The Third Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that New Jersey could not bring an enforcement action against Kalshi, finding that the federal Commodity Exchange Act preempted state gambling laws.

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig speaking at Vanderbilt University

Policy

Polymarket pulls controversial Iran rescue markets after intense backlash

Prediction markets face rising regulatory pressure, with congressional Democrats proposing legislation to ban contracts tied to elections, war and government actions.

Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of Polymarket (CoinDesk/Jesse Hamilton)

Policy

Judge continues Nevada ban on Kalshi sports markets

A state judge ruled that Kalshi's prediction markets offering sports bets were "indistinguishable" from gambling, and extended a temporary ban in Nevada.

Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Videos

Market structure bill delayed as crypto, banks meet lawmakers

Crypto and banking leaders are meeting with legislative staffers to hash out the future of U.S. stablecoins. The market structure bill is now delayed again and the fight over yield isn't the only hurdle as lawmakers finalize on DeFi regulations and concerns over President Trump's family crypto projects. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

Market structure bill delayed as crypto, banks meet lawmakers

Videos

JPMorgan & Goldman Sachs eye prediction markets

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said the bank is considering entering prediction markets and Goldman Sachs has expressed similar ambitions. Would the Wall Street giants adopt blockchain-based systems or stick to traditional infrastructure? CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

JPMorgan & Goldman Sachs eye prediction markets

Policy

CFTC sues Illinois, Arizona, Connecticut over states' sports prediction market efforts

The CFTC argued in a lawsuit that the Commodity Exchange Act gave it "exclusive jurisdiction" over all swaps, which include prediction markets.

CFTC Chairman Mike Selig (Nikhilesh De/CoinDesk)