Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets

政策

NCAA urges CFTC to pause college sports prediction markets

The group says contracts mirror sports betting but lack safeguards, warning transfer portal markets could pose “catastrophic” risks to student athletes.

(Ben Hershley/Unsplash)

政策

Federal judge temporarily halts Tennessee's bid to shut down Kalshi sports contracts

A new ruling freezes a state cease-and-desist order while the court considers whether Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated platform is shielded from state gambling laws.

Kalshi website on a laptop.

市场

Prediction markets downplay Powell exit risk despite DOJ probe: Asia Morning Briefing

Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are shrugging off the idea that a criminal investigation into the chair of the Federal Reserve would have him removed from his role early.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell taking questions during the October 2025 FOMC press conference.

政策

Bitnomial wins U.S. regulator's nod on prediction markets push, joins growing crowd

U.S. derivatives platform and clearinghouse is focusing on prediction contracts targeted at digital assets movements and economic indicators.

(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

金融

Crypto traders can now speculate on housing prices through Polymarket

The crypto-based betting platform is expanding beyond politics and macro with real estate markets tied to daily housing indices.

house for sale (Peter Dazeley/Getty Images)

市场

Traders split over whether Lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Prediction markets show traders clustering around a $2 billion–$3 billion range, with odds for $4 billion and $6 billion outcomes falling steadily after October's crash.

Lighter, LIT (Rudy and Peter Skitterians/Pixabay, modified by CoinDesk)

市场

Dragonfly managing partner lays out his 2026 crypto predictions

The venture capitalist argues 2026 will favor proven crypto infrastructure, while several fast-growing segments reshape how the industry expands.

Abstract blockchain networks illustration with glowing cubes representing digital assets

市场

Coinbase says three areas will dominate the crypto market in 2026

Coinbase Institutional says shifting market structure, not hype cycles, will shape crypto trading and adoption in 2026 as activity concentrates in a few key areas.

Abstract blockchain networks illustration with glowing cubes representing digital assets

金融

Polymarket points to third-party login tool after users report account breaches

The platform attributed the incident to a third-party login provider, which several users speculated was Magic Labs, a popular tool for email-based logins.

Glasses in front of monitors with code (Kevin Ku/Unsplash/Modified by CoinDesk)

金融

Coinbase agrees to buy The Clearing Company to deepen prediction markets push

The deal brings a team with specialized experience building event-based trading systems, including veterans from Polymarket and Kalshi.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong speaking to House Speaker Mike Johnson on July 18, 2025. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)