Prediction Markets

CFTC sues Wisconsin in agency's legal campaign defending prediction markets authority
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission added Wisconsin to the list of states it's sued over event-contract jurisdiction, most recently New York.

Polymarket reportedly seeking CFTC approval to reopen main exchange to U.S. traders
If approved, the move would help Polymarket compete with Kalshi in the U.S., and bring more event-trading activity under CFTC regulatory oversight.

Only 3% of traders drive prediction markets' accuracy, not the crowd, study finds
Researchers show market accuracy comes from a tiny group of informed traders, not broad participation.

U.S. CFTC adds New York to string of states its suing to stop prediction market pushback
The federal regulator has been suing states that seek to curtail prediction markets activity and claim it should be deemed state-regulated gaming.

Schwab brings crypto to 38M users; North Korea 'simply' to blame for recent DeFi hacks
On this debut episode of CoinDesk's new show The Policy Protocol, co-hosts Renato Mariotti and Rebecca Rettig break down Schwab's rollout of crypto to nearly 40 million brokerage accounts and the Kelp DAO hack tied to North Korea. Ari Redbord, Global Head of Policy at TRM Labs, joins to make the case for going on offense against DPRK hackers and cracking down on non-compliant offshore exchanges.

Wisconsin joins prediction market fight, suing Kalshi, Coinbase, Polymarket, Robinhood and Crypto.com
The state's complaint highlights language used by prediction market platforms as language for gambling, not investing.

Trump's Iran ceasefire sends bitcoin past $78K
President Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely, triggering a bitcoin rally past $78,000 and short-squeeze conditions in crypto markets. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

New York sues Coinbase, Gemini over prediction market offerings
New York has become the latest state to argue that prediction market contracts touching on sports and entertainment violate state gambling laws.

Prediction markets are the new secret weapon for Coinbase and Robinhood growth
Cantor Fitzgerald analysts said the market is treating recent trading slumps as old news, shifting focus instead toward prediction markets and new product launches to drive the next leg of growth for Coinbase and Robinhood.

U.S. CFTC's Selig says AI has helped make up for staffing cuts at key crypto watchdog
Chairman Mike Selig faces explosive new market duties with crypto and prediction markets, where he said "numerous investigations" have begun.

