Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets

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Coinbase litigation head challenges state "gaslighting" over prediction markets

Coinbase’s VP of Legal and Global Head of Litigation, Ryan VanGrack, joins Jennifer Sanasie and Renato Mariotti to discuss why the company is challenging state regulators to ensure a unified federal framework for prediction markets. He also shares why he believes bipartisan market structure legislation is still on the table despite recent setbacks.

CoinDesk

Patakaran

MrBeast editor nabbed by prediction market firm Kalshi for alleged insider trading

The company said it punished the MrBeast employee and another user it said tried to get away with contracts relying on inside information.

An employee for YouTube star MrBeast was called out for insider trading at Kalshi. (Victoria Sirakova /Getty Images)

Merkado

Prediction market firms could be making $10 billion in yearly revenue by 2030, Citizens Bank says

The bank said rising volumes, tighter market structure and early institutional engagement are pushing prediction markets beyond their gambling roots toward a new asset class.

Kalshi will have a prediction contract weighed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Patakaran

U.S. Federal Reserve researchers sing praises of prediction markets

A deep look at predictions on Kalshi called such platforms valuable to policymakers and researchers, according to a new Fed paper.

Kalshi website on a laptop.

Patakaran

What happens on prediction platforms can steer traditional markets, NYSE chief says

Prediction market outcomes are being used as inputs for how players deal with traditional financial markets, NYSE President Lynn Martin said at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday.

CFTC Chair Mike Selig (left) and NYSE President Lynn Martin speaking on stage at the World Liberty forum. (Helene Braun/CoinDesk)

Pananalapi

Bitwise aims to offer prediction market ETFs for U.S. elections in 2026 and 2028

Under "Prediction Shares" branding, Bitwise filed to list two ETFs tracking prediction markets betting on the outcome of the 2028 presidential election.

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan (CoinDesk Archives)

Patakaran

CFTC's Selig opens legal dispute against states getting in way of prediction markets

Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig fired a legal warning shot defending his agency's jurisdiction over the event contract space.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Pananalapi

Prediction markets vs. insider trading: Founders admit blockchain transparency is the only defense

Prediction markets are increasingly being framed not as gambling platforms but as vehicles for monetizing information, though founders acknowledged the line can blur.

Jared Dillinger, CEO of New Prontera Group, Farokh Sarmad, co-founder of DASTAN and Ding X, founder of Predict.fun (CoinDesk)

Pananalapi

Why crypto VCs at Consensus Hong Kong are playing a 15-year game

With capital tightening, investors are backing “what’s working,” like stablecoins and tokenization, while selectively betting on AI and prediction markets.

Paul Veradittakit of Pantera Capital at Consensus Hong Kong 2026 (CoinDesk)

Pananalapi

Jump Trading to take small stakes in Polymarket, Kalshi: Bloomberg

Jump is set to take a fixed amount of equity in prediction market Kalshi, while its stake in Polymarket will grow over time depending on the trading capacity that the firm provides.

Stock trading charts. (sergeitokmakov/Pixabay, modified by CoinDesk)