Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets

Markets

Market Opens Betting That Cardano Won't Release Smart Contracts by Oct. 1

The odds are 63-37 against, according to recent trading levels on Polymarket.

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson

Policy

Prediction Markets Put Eric Adams' NYC Mayoral Bid at 50-50 After 'Dummy Ballot' Snafu

Uncertainty following the Board of Elections' removal of 135,000 ballots has sunk Eric Adams' chances on PredictIt and Polymarket.

Eric Adams

Markets

Why Crypto Whales Love This Prediction Market

Polymarket has grown to do $100 million in total volume. It’s enough to ask – has someone finally found a fit for crypto prediction markets?

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Policy

Internet Deplatforming as Class Warfare

Protecting democracy from misinformation and hate speech? More like preventing everyday people from communicating with each other.

Today's deplatforming activists are the heirs to Terri Rakolta, who pressured sponsors to pull their ads from Fox Broadcasting's 1990s sitcom "Married ... with Children."

Tech

How Crypto Transforms Prediction Markets

Betting can be used to predict the future. That's the crazy idea behind prediction markets. Here's how they work and where cryptocurrency fits into the picture.

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Markets

The 2020 Elections Are Boosting Crypto Prediction Markets

Decentralized betting platforms like Polymarket and YieldWars are seeing accelerated trading volume growth leading up to the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

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Markets

Crypto Traders Bet on US Election as FTX Prediction Markets Hit Record Volumes

October sees record volume for TRUMP and BIDEN markets three weeks ahead of the U.S. election.

Prices for TRUMP and BIDEN futures markets on FTX

Markets

Election 2020 Prediction Markets: Bettors Say Trump Lost Tuesday's Debate

With the first presidential debate now smoldering behind us, the betting markets have picked their winner: Joe Biden.

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Tech

Ethereum Gas Fees Drive Gnosis-Powered Prediction Market to xDai's Layer 2

"Ethereum is on the way to becoming a whale chain," said Gnosis co-founder Stefan George. That's why his team's tech is moving to xDai.

New layer liftoff (Mae Mu/Unsplash)

Finance

Prediction Markets' Time Has Come, but They Aren't Ready for It

After the pundits so badly misjudged the 2016 U.S. presidential election, prediction markets should be booming ahead of Nov. 3. Why aren’t they?

(Alex Wong/Getty Images)