Prediction Markets
Analysis: Coinbase's Armstrong Made Prediction Markets Look 'Fun.' Bill Ackman Made Them Look Real
A Coinbase CEO prank resolved one market with a single sentence. Ackman’s warning about “rigged odds” in a $22 million Polymarket election shows the opposite: it now takes institutional-scale money to move prices even 10%.
Analysis: Prediction Market Bettors Miscalculated Dutch Election Results
Both Polymarket and Kalshi traders ignored late polls showing D66 gaining ground, keeping Geert Wilders’ PVV priced as a sure thing until exit polls forced a repricing that erased millions in misplaced bets.
Blockchain-Based Polymarket Eyes U.S. Comeback by November: BBG
Polymarket previously announced it would launch a token and had acquired a CFTC-registered entity.
Trump Media Taps Crypto.com to Launch Prediction Markets on Truth Social
Truth Predict will let users bet on elections, Fed moves and more via a CFTC-registered exchange, making Truth Social the first social platform with native prediction markets.
Polymarket Seeks Investment at Valuation of $12B-$15B: Bloomberg
That level would mark a more than 10-fold increase since June, when Polymarket raised $200 million at a $1 billion valuation.
Jupiter DEX Launches Kalshi-Powered Prediction Market for F1 Mexico Grand Prix Winner
The platform, powered by Kalshi, allows users to speculate on the race outcome, with initial trading limits set to ensure stability.
Kalshi Raises $300M at $5B Valuation, Expands Prediction Markets to 140 Countries: NYT
The funding round was led by major investors including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, CapitalG and Coinbase Ventures.
Robinhood Eyes Global Expansion of Prediction Markets After U.S. Debut: Bloomberg
The retail trading platform is exploring launches in the UK and Europe after teaming up with Kalshi in August.
Melee Raises $3.5M to Launch ‘Viral Prediction Markets’ Without Gatekeepers
The platform lets creators and traders build markets on anything from politics to pop culture.
Polymarket Connects to Chainlink to Cut Tampering Risks in Price Bets
Chainlink will supply data for objective, fact-based markets. The challenge of reliably resolving more subjective bets remains.
