Prediction Markets

U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets
Companies such as PredictIt and Kalshi would get "regulatory clarity" under rule in coming months, according to the chairman of the derivatives regulator.

He Exposed Harvard President's Plagiarism, Then Lost Money Betting on the Story
Are prediction markets the future of investigative journalism? Maybe, says Chris Brunet, whose reporting led to Claudine Gay's resignation – though he's yet to profit from his scoops.

Bitcoin ETF Frenzy Brings Windfall Volume to Decentralized Predictions Platform Polymarket
Polymarket saw betting contracts worth more than $5.7 million change hands on Wednesday.

CFTC Chief: Nothing Changed After FTX Meltdown to Empower Agency to Prevent Repeat
U.S. CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam says his agency is still awaiting new authorities from Congress to get supervision power over the crypto markets.

Prediction Market Kalshi Sues U.S. CFTC for Denying Its Contracts for Congressional Elections
The CFTC denied a valid hedging option when it rebuffed a plan to offer event contracts for traders to bet on political outcomes, the company said.

Americans (Seemingly) Aren't Allowed to Put This Economic Theory to the Test
The CFTC keeps putting fences around prediction markets, which some say are better way to aggregate information.

CFTC Denies Kalshi’s Plan to Let Users Bet on Control of U.S. Congress
U.S. federal regulators said the plans weren't in the "public interest," after a court squabble involving rival service PredictIt

BitMEX's Prediction Market Is Now Live
Current prediction market contracts revolve around FTX bankruptcy claim recoveries, the future of bitcoin ETFs, and Sam Bankman-Fried’s jail sentence.

CFTC Kicks Off Review of Kalshi's Congressional Control Prediction Markets
Kalshi wants to let users bet on which political party will control Congress after an election.

CFTC to Review Prediction Market Kalshi’s Contracts to Bet on Control of Congress
The U.S. derivatives regulator has scheduled a June 26 meeting to discuss starting another review to evaluate whether to approve Kalshi’s event contracts.

