Prediction Markets
Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris
The former president's probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding.
No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails the $2 billion traded on Polymarket since January.
U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
The regulator filed its opening brief in its appeals case to tamp down on political event contracts.
Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.
Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.
Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement, but Trails in This Key State
Elon Musk says prediction markets are more accurate than polls.
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi Preps Presidential Prediction Markets After Re-Launching Congressional Contracts
Interactive Brokers' ForecastEx is also preparing presidential and Congressional contracts following the latest court defeat for the CFTC.
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point on the prediction market, but is expected to carry most of the swing states.
