Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets

Markets

Kalshi Joins Polymarket in Unicorn Club With Latest Fundraise: Report

Kalshi has raised$185 million at a valuation of $2 billion, according to a release.

Kalshi will have a prediction contract weighed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

Trump's CFTC Pick Says U.S. Can Boost Crypto Innovation and Shield Consumers

Brian Quintenz told senators at his confirmation hearing for CFTC chairman that Congress needs to ensure "full promise" of digital assets' potential.

Brian Quintenz (Senate Agriculture Committee, screen capture)

Markets

Prediction Markets Traders Bet Big on Easy Liberal Win as Canadians Head to the Polls

Political betting platforms show Mark Carney leading with a 78% chance of becoming Canada's next Prime Minister, while Pierre Poilievre has a 22% chance.

(Jason Hafso/Unsplash)

Markets

Polymarket, UMA Communities Lock Horns After $7M Ukraine Bet Resolves

The bet was resolved as 'yes' despite no official agreement, leading to suspicions of manipulation by a large UMA token holder, but Polymarket defended the UMA voting process.

Ukraine

Policy

Trump's CFTC Head Slams Prediction Markets Resistance Under Predecessor

Caroline Pham, the agency's acting chairman, is scheduling an experts roundtable to reset the CFTC's course on this "sinkhole of legal uncertainty."

Caroline Pham, acting chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Policy

Polymarket's Customer Data Sought by CFTC Subpoena of Coinbase, Source Says

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is said to be seeking information about customers' interactions with the prediction market site Polymarket.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam

Tech

Shayne Coplan: He Took Prediction Markets Mainstream

In so doing, Polymarket's founder demonstrated a real-world consumer use case for crypto, earning him a spot on CoinDesk's Most Influential 2024 list.

(Pudgy Peguins)

Policy

Only Congress Can Ban Election Betting, Kalshi Tells Appeals Court in New Filing

Kalshi blasted the regulator’s attempt to create a “Goldilocks” definition of gaming that would include elections as “arbitrary, outcome-driven gerrymandering with no basis in the statute," in its ongoing defense against the CFTC's move to ban its prediction markets.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam

News Analysis

Polymarket Trader Loses Millions on Tyson After Making Bank on Trump

Plus: the market is not confident if Matt Gaetz will be confirmed as Trump's attorney general.

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - NOVEMBER 15: Jake Paul throws a left on Mike Tyson during a heavyweight bout at AT&T Stadium on November 15, 2024 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Finance

Polymarket CEO's Home Is Raided by FBI

"This is obvious political retribution," said a Polymarket spokesperson. Bloomberg reported that DOJ is investigating the company for letting U.S. users access the site.

Markets – Consensus: Distributed