Prediction Markets
U.S. Federal Reserve researchers sing praises of prediction markets
A deep look at predictions on Kalshi called such platforms valuable to policymakers and researchers, according to a new Fed paper.
What happens on prediction platforms can steer traditional markets, NYSE chief says
Prediction market outcomes are being used as inputs for how players deal with traditional financial markets, NYSE President Lynn Martin said at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday.
Bitwise aims to offer prediction market ETFs for U.S. elections in 2026 and 2028
Under "Prediction Shares" branding, Bitwise filed to list two ETFs tracking prediction markets betting on the outcome of the 2028 presidential election.
CFTC's Selig opens legal dispute against states getting in way of prediction markets
Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig fired a legal warning shot defending his agency's jurisdiction over the event contract space.
Prediction markets vs. insider trading: Founders admit blockchain transparency is the only defense
Prediction markets are increasingly being framed not as gambling platforms but as vehicles for monetizing information, though founders acknowledged the line can blur.
Why crypto VCs at Consensus Hong Kong are playing a 15-year game
With capital tightening, investors are backing “what’s working,” like stablecoins and tokenization, while selectively betting on AI and prediction markets.
Jump Trading to take small stakes in Polymarket, Kalshi: Bloomberg
Jump is set to take a fixed amount of equity in prediction market Kalshi, while its stake in Polymarket will grow over time depending on the trading capacity that the firm provides.
Gemini to exit U.K., EU and Australia, reduce staff by 25%, and focus on U.S. and prediction markets
The crypto exchange has instructed affected customers to sign up with eToro by the end of March for withdrawals, while deposits and new accounts have been suspended.
U.S. regulator declares do-over on prediction markets, throwing out Biden era 'frolic'
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission tumultuous legal fight with events-contracts firms is done, and its new leader is yanking previous policy efforts.
Opinion raises $20 million as prediction markets draw capital in a weak crypto market
The blockchain-based platform says it handles a third of global prediction-market volume, betting that onchain settlement and category diversification can sustain growth.
