Prediction Markets
Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports
The company's head of futures and prediction markets said bitcoin, gold and oil contracts are among its fastest-growing prediction markets.
Kalshi CEO says state-led oversight of U.S. prediction markets would push them out
CEO Tarek Mansour said he feels "pretty good" about the pending outcome of the current legal fight over who has the right to regulate prediction markets.
Everyone wants SCOTUS to take up prediction markets: State of Crypto
The U.S. Supreme Court hasn't yet indicated whether it will take up cases surrounding prediction markets, but there are now several amicus briefs, an interim final rule and a rule proposal.
U.S. CFTC moves to fold event contracts into swaps regulations as legal fight rages
The derivatives regulator is proposing a formal rule to include certain contracts traded on platforms like Kalshi's as swaps that require the agency's oversight.
NFL joins pushback against prediction markets as U.S. Supreme Court asked to act
In opposition to federal oversight of the prediction markets, the National Football League has sided with states, Gary Gensler and one of the authors of the relevant law.
U.S. CFTC seeks event contract definitions that may defy states' gambling claims
As it battles with states over prediction markets, the CFTC sent two related rules on swaps definitions for White House review.
Another appeals court rules against prediction market provider Kalshi, says sports contracts are subject to state regulations
A Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals panel ruled that prediction markets' sports-related events contracts are not swaps, and therefore aren't subject to federal regulatory oversight.
U.S. regulator warns about cheating risks in 'mention markets' on prediction platforms
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued a new advisory to flag the unique dangers of markets based on individuals' behavior.
Bitcoin, ether perpetual volumes on Kalshi are dominated by an unusual, repetitive trade, data shows
CoinDesk found one $5,499 trade size accounting for 57% of sampled ether-perpetual volume, while recurring $2,500 and $5,000 trade sizes made up 54% of sampled bitcoin-perpetual volume.
Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road
Kalshi and Polymarket bettors sharply raised the chances of U.S. crypto market structure legislation advancing, with Tuesday's Senate vote the next test.
