Prediction Markets
A massive hiring wave reveals trading firms are no longer viewing Polymarket as a niche betting tool
While rising volume on Polymarket and Kalshi is attracting quantitative firms to prediction markets, they aren't focusing on event outcomes; rather, they're exploiting market inefficiencies for profit.
Moomoo expands into prediction markets through Kalshi partnership
Retail trading platform moomoo has partnered with Kalshi to offer CFTC-regulated event contracts tied to economic data, elections and major sporting events directly within its app.
Prediction market traders bet bitcoin's selloff has further to run
Markets now imply a 66% chance bitcoin falls below $55,000 and a coin-flip chance of sub-$50,000 prices before year-end.
Galaxy enters institutional prediction markets with $10 million Arca trade
The digital asset firm launched OTC prediction markets trading for institutions and completed a $10 million trade tied to U.S. crypto legislation with hedge fund Arca.
NYSE's owner calls Hyperliquid bigger than NASDAQ
ICE CEO Jeffrey Sprecher said Hyperliquid is "bigger than NASDAQ" by daily volume, and disclosed his team has met its founders multiple times. The DeFi platform controls over 70% of the decentralized perp market and has been trading oil futures on weekends when traditional exchanges are closed. CoinDesk's Sam Ewen hosts "CoinDesk Daily."
CFTC not ready for crypto's expansion, expert warns
CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti dig into the New York Times investigation of the CFTC and Kalshi's latest lawsuit against Minnesota before sitting down with Aaron Klein, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Klein argues that independent financial regulators have been turned into "subsidiaries of the White House," warns that the CFTC is not structurally up to the jurisdiction CLARITY would hand it, and makes the case that the SEC and CFTC should be merged. He also unpacks lessons from Dodd-Frank and the savings-and-loan crisis. Plus, Rebecca and Renato debrief on the CFTC staffing debate and name House Agriculture Chairman GT Thompson and Ranking Member Angie Craig as their People of the Week for their bipartisan push to fill out the CFTC commission.
Kalshi follows CFTC in suing Minnesota over law criminalizing prediction markets
The Governor of Minnesota signed into law a measure that, starting Aug. 1, makes it a crime to advertise and operate prediction market platforms across the state.
Gemini taps SpaceXAI to build a personalized prediction markets feed
The new feature integrates SpaceXAI models to deliver real-time market intelligence, personalized signals and portfolio insights directly inside the Gemini app.
White House reviews CFTC prediction-market rule as Trump backs federal control
The proposal could shape how Kalshi, Polymarket, and other event-contract platforms operate as states challenge the CFTC’s authority.
Trump praises prediction markets, defends CFTC as court cases compound
U.S. President Donald Trump said it was "critically important" that the CFTC keep "exclusive authority" over prediction markets, echoing CFTC Chair Michael Selig.
