Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets

Finance

Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakout

Prediction markets just topped $50 billion in monthly volume, capping off the first month of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

(Fauzan Saari/Unsplash)

Marchés

Polymarket seeks approval to bring margin trading to U.S. customers

Polymarket's application to allow users to take positions that are not fully collateralized follows authorization granted to rival Kalshi in March.

Hands rest on a keyboard attached to a tablet computer. (Kanchanara/Unsplash)

Marchés

Polymarket bets on U.S. marketing blitz to win back trust after 4-year ban: Report

The prediction market's head of U.S. operations says the business is taking steps to legitimize itself after years of legal scrutiny.

CoinDesk

Finance

Coinbase AI draws backlash after erroneously publishing World Cup result before kickoff

CEO Brian Armstrong investigated, and the firm said it made updates to prevent future AI-generated inaccuracies.

Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring Norway's first goal against Brazil.

Analyse de Nouvelles

Kalshi and prediction market sector embroiled in mixed bag of legal fights across U.S.

Some of the many battles with state gaming regulators aren't going well for the industry at the moment, but it isn't without its would-be government protectors.

U.S. Supreme Court building in Washington, D.C. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Juridique

EU moves to block retail investors from explosive boom of multibillion-dollar prediction markets

The region's regulators emphasized that a product's actual function as a derivative matters more than its commercial name or labeling when assessing compliance.

Europe's markets regulator European Parliament (Guillaume Périgois/Unsplash)

Web3

Mysterious Solana project World unveiled as fully onchain prediction market

The platform is now live within the Phantom wallet and at world.xyz, utilizing Chainlink as its primary oracle infrastructure for market data.

Laptop with markets monitor and charts. (Kanchanara/Unsplash)

Finance

Kalshi and Polymarket could become M&A targets as prediction markets consolidate: Bernstein

The broker said operational consolidation is blurring the lines between exchanges, brokerages and sportsbooks, creating conditions for acquisitions across the prediction market ecosystem.

Crystal ball (Credit: Zhenyu LuoUnsplash/Modified by CoinDesk)

Vidéos

Does the Clarity Act have a human trafficking blind spot?

CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti open with two hot topics: Coinbase's SEC-registered AI agentic trading launch and tribal gaming operators' letter to Senators Thune and Schumer demanding that the CLARITY Act include a prohibition on prediction markets. Then Katie Boller Gosewisch, Executive Director of the Alliance to End Human Trafficking, joins to challenge CLARITY's Section 604, arguing that shielding DeFi developers from money-transmitter liability creates a "duty of care" gap that traffickers can exploit. Plus, Rebecca and Renato close by naming Meta as their Person of the Week for its reported move into points-based prediction markets.

Does the Clarity Act have a human trafficking blind spot?

Finance

Kalshi targets a massive $40 billion valuation, widening lead over rival Polymarket

The prediction market operator, which is eyeing a potential public debut in 2027, could close a new funding round in Q3, according to a Financial Times report.

Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)