预测市场

预测市场

Markets

银河基金通过1,000万美元Arca交易进军机构预测市场

该数字资产公司推出了面向机构的场外预测市场交易,并与对冲基金 Arca 完成了一笔与美国加密货币立法相关的 1000 万美元交易。

(Daniel Murray/Consensus)

Videos

NYSE's owner calls Hyperliquid bigger than NASDAQ

ICE CEO Jeffrey Sprecher said Hyperliquid is "bigger than NASDAQ" by daily volume, and disclosed his team has met its founders multiple times. The DeFi platform controls over 70% of the decentralized perp market and has been trading oil futures on weekends when traditional exchanges are closed. CoinDesk's Sam Ewen hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

NYSE's owner calls Hyperliquid bigger than NASDAQ

Videos

CFTC not ready for crypto's expansion, expert warns

CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti dig into the New York Times investigation of the CFTC and Kalshi's latest lawsuit against Minnesota before sitting down with Aaron Klein, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Klein argues that independent financial regulators have been turned into "subsidiaries of the White House," warns that the CFTC is not structurally up to the jurisdiction CLARITY would hand it, and makes the case that the SEC and CFTC should be merged. He also unpacks lessons from Dodd-Frank and the savings-and-loan crisis. Plus, Rebecca and Renato debrief on the CFTC staffing debate and name House Agriculture Chairman GT Thompson and Ranking Member Angie Craig as their People of the Week for their bipartisan push to fill out the CFTC commission.

CFTC not ready for crypto's expansion, expert warns

Policy

Kalshi 追随美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC),对明尼苏达州关于将预测市场定为刑事犯罪的法律提起诉讼

明尼苏达州州长签署法律,自8月1日起,在全州范围内发布和运营预测市场平台将被视为犯罪。

Minnesota federal courtroom. (Jonathunder/Wikimedia Commons)

Tech

Gemini 利用 SpaceXAI 构建个性化预测市场信息流

该新功能整合了SpaceXAI模型,能够在Gemini应用内实时提供市场情报、个性化信号及投资组合洞察。

Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

白宫审查商品期货交易委员会预测市场规则,特朗普支持联邦监管

该提案可能会影响 Kalshi、Polymarket 及其他事件合约平台的运营方式,因为各州正在挑战美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)的权威。

White House at night (Credit: Tabrez Syed on Unsplash/Modified by CoinDesk)

Policy

特朗普赞扬预测市场,法院案件增多之际为CFTC辩护

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示,商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)保持对预测市场的“独家权威”具有“关键重要性”,此观点呼应了CFTC主席迈克尔·塞利格的看法。

U.S. President Donald Trump  (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

西班牙加入日益增多的封禁 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 的国家行列

这些平台因未取得西班牙赌博法规定的经营许可证而被封禁,理由是缺乏对未成年人和自我排除赌徒的保护措施。

Kalshi website shown on a laptop.

Policy

国会对 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 展开大规模内幕交易调查

众议员詹姆斯·科默要求预测市场首席执行官提供内部记录,警告称政府雇员可能利用机密信息获取“巨额利润”。

U.S. Congress building

Markets

印度加强对预测市场的监管:Polymarket已关闭,Kalshi或将成为下一个

Polymarket 已在印度停止运营,据当地媒体报道,Kalshi 可能成为下一个。

India's flag (Naveed Ahmed / Unsplash)