预测市场

NYSE's owner calls Hyperliquid bigger than NASDAQ
ICE CEO Jeffrey Sprecher said Hyperliquid is "bigger than NASDAQ" by daily volume, and disclosed his team has met its founders multiple times. The DeFi platform controls over 70% of the decentralized perp market and has been trading oil futures on weekends when traditional exchanges are closed. CoinDesk's Sam Ewen hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

CFTC not ready for crypto's expansion, expert warns
CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti dig into the New York Times investigation of the CFTC and Kalshi's latest lawsuit against Minnesota before sitting down with Aaron Klein, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Klein argues that independent financial regulators have been turned into "subsidiaries of the White House," warns that the CFTC is not structurally up to the jurisdiction CLARITY would hand it, and makes the case that the SEC and CFTC should be merged. He also unpacks lessons from Dodd-Frank and the savings-and-loan crisis. Plus, Rebecca and Renato debrief on the CFTC staffing debate and name House Agriculture Chairman GT Thompson and Ranking Member Angie Craig as their People of the Week for their bipartisan push to fill out the CFTC commission.


白宫审查商品期货交易委员会预测市场规则,特朗普支持联邦监管
该提案可能会影响 Kalshi、Polymarket 及其他事件合约平台的运营方式,因为各州正在挑战美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)的权威。

特朗普赞扬预测市场,法院案件增多之际为CFTC辩护
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示,商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)保持对预测市场的“独家权威”具有“关键重要性”,此观点呼应了CFTC主席迈克尔·塞利格的看法。

加密预测市场正演变成危险的国家安全风险,国会希望禁止它们
由 Nicolas Vaiman 领导的 Bubblemaps 调查人员发现 Polymarket 上有 80 个投注,胜率达到 98%,他表示这一胜率在统计上是不可能实现的。




