预测市场

预测市场

Finance

Kalshi正与红杉资本、Wellington洽谈筹集7.5亿美元资金,估值达400亿美元

该预测市场平台在五月以220亿美元的估值筹集了10亿美元,目前正讨论一轮新的融资,融资金额可能接近翻倍。

Luana Lopes Lara, Co-founder And COO, Kalshi (Getty Images/Anna Webber)

Policy

美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)建议预测市场应减少因激励措施而导致的错误申报,以促进交易

美国对Kalshi和Polymarket等平台的监管机构表示,该行业正养成不良的合规习惯,可能导致市场操纵行为。

CFTC HQ

Finance

Kalshi 携手 DoubleZero 推出华尔街风格的高速数据传输服务

Kalshi 正寻求通过将 DoubleZero 数据添加到其订单簿中,以满足机构需求。

Lights blur as a car speeds forwards (Public Domain Pictures/Pixabay)

Policy

FlightAware 终止对 Kalshi 的诉讼,原因是数据显示其未能打开的市场细分领域

该航班追踪公司自愿撤销了诉讼,且不具任何偏见,也未透露其决定的具体原因。然而,航班取消市场在Kalshi用户中从未真正兴起。

Ground airplane. Kalshi flight cancellations market. (Bao Menglong /Unsplash)

Policy

FlightAware 起诉 Kalshi,因其对航班取消的投注

该航班追踪公司指控 Kalshi 未经授权使用其数据和商标来结算已取消航班的合约。

Grounded planes. Kalshi cancellation flight betting (Yeray Sanchez/Unsplash)

Finance

一项五秒技巧如何让交易者从 Polymarket 中套现数百万

在链上分析师数月的公开警告后,预测市场正转向采用时间加权价格,以使人为的价格推动变得成本过高。

Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of Polymarket (CoinDesk/Jesse Hamilton)

Markets

随着预测市场领域竞争加剧,Polymarket 目标市值达到 200 亿美元

据报道,这家基于区块链的预测市场平台在完成一轮150亿美元的融资数月后,正准备向投资者返还资金。

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan (Polymarket)

Videos

SEC's Hester Peirce’s parting advice for crypto

CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti open on the current state of crypto and the industry's evolution before digging into the George Santos CFTC settlement and the ColdCard hardware wallet hack. They are joined by SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce, who is departing the agency for academia after nearly a decade of service. Peirce reflects on the legacy she hopes to leave and shares a piece of parting advice for the industry. Plus, insights into what the SEC can and can't do on crypto rulemaking if the CLARITY Act fails, though she remains “optimistic” that the bill will pass. And, Rebecca and Renato name Senators Thom Tillis (R-NC) and Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) as their bipartisan Person of the Week for the ethics compromise they delivered to the White House. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Find out more at⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ realfi.co⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.

SEC's Hester Peirce’s parting advice for crypto

Tech

Fun 首席执行官表示,未来的加密支付将不再包括入金通道或桥接

Alex Fine 表示,随着各平台转向统一的资金流,独立的加密支付渠道正逐渐被淘汰,这种统一资金流能够为用户抽象出区块链的复杂性。

An network of points of light connected by colored rays.

Markets

世界杯竞猜创下记录,预测市场成交量达到200亿美元

市场涵盖了从最简单的问题——谁将赢得锦标赛,到克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在葡萄牙被淘汰时是否会哭泣(结果他确实哭了)。

2026 FIFA World Cup winners Spain (Getty Images)