Polymarket
The Probability of Iran Blocking Strait of Hormuz Surges to 52% On Polymarket After Trump's Air Strikes on Iran's Nuclear Facility
BTC held above $100K, continuing its boring multi-week rangeplay.
Polymarket Odds on U.S. Military Action Against Iran Slide as Trump Team Proposes Tehran Talks
Odds of U.S. military strike against Iran before July slide.
Polymarket Partners Up With Elon Musk's xAI
Shayne Coplan, the prediction market's CEO, said that the two "truth-seeking apps" would be stronger together.
Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out
The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.
Prediction Markets Traders Bet Big on Easy Liberal Win as Canadians Head to the Polls
Political betting platforms show Mark Carney leading with a 78% chance of becoming Canada's next Prime Minister, while Pierre Poilievre has a 22% chance.
U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC?
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year.
Polymarket, UMA Communities Lock Horns After $7M Ukraine Bet Resolves
The bet was resolved as 'yes' despite no official agreement, leading to suspicions of manipulation by a large UMA token holder, but Polymarket defended the UMA voting process.
A Contentious Ukraine Bet Leads to Clash Between Polymarket, UMA Communities
BornTooLate.Eth has accumulated over 1.3 million UMA tokens to attack a Ukraine-themed market — but nobody has appeared to have made much money.
Polymarket Is 90% Accurate in Predicting World Events: Research
Research shows that Polymarket is 90% accurate in predicting how events will occur one month out, and 94% four hours before the event occurs.
Polymarket Traders Bet on Canadian Tariff Cuts After Lutnick Hints at Negotiations
Howard Lutnick told Fox Business that President Donald Trump is willing to 'meet in the middle' on tariffs, but not eliminate them entirely – yet.
