Polymarket


Policy

Prediction Markets Say U.S. Government Shutdown Days From Ending as Health Care Fight Looms

Polymarket traders see a 96% chance the record-long shutdown ends by mid-November, as the Senate passes a deal and pressure mounts on House Republicans to act.

U.S. Congress (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Markets

Polymarket’s Trading Volume May Be 25% Fake, Columbia Study Finds

Nearly 60% of weekly trades in December 2024 were flagged as likely wash trading, with coordinated networks of 43,000 wallets detected.

(sergeitokmakov/Pixabay/Modified by CoinDesk)

Markets

Google Brings Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi to Its Search and Finance Platforms

For the first time, users can access live market odds on future events directly in Google Search and Google Finance, elevating blockchain-powered forecasts into public view.

(Pawel Czerwinski/Unsplash)

Markets

Biggest Loser of NYC Election Polymarket Contract Is Down Almost $1M Betting Against Mamdani

‘fuxfux007’ lost nearly $969,169 making a bold bet against New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mandami.

Zohran Mamdani at the Resist Fascism Rally in Bryant Park on Oct 27th 2024 (Wikimedia Commons)

Markets

Analysis: Prediction Market Bettors Miscalculated Dutch Election Results

Both Polymarket and Kalshi traders ignored late polls showing D66 gaining ground, keeping Geert Wilders’ PVV priced as a sure thing until exit polls forced a repricing that erased millions in misplaced bets.

Netherlands flag. (Flickr)

Markets

Blockchain-Based Polymarket Eyes U.S. Comeback by November: BBG

Polymarket previously announced it would launch a token and had acquired a CFTC-registered entity.

(istrfry/Unsplash)

Markets

Polymarket Will Launch Token and Airdrop After U.S. Relaunch, CMO Says

"There will be a token, there will be an airdrop," CMO said as the platform nears an official U.S. return via a regulated exchange.

Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

Finance

Polymarket Seeks Investment at Valuation of $12B-$15B: Bloomberg

That level would mark a more than 10-fold increase since June, when Polymarket raised $200 million at a $1 billion valuation.


Markets

NHL Opens Door to Prediction Markets in Landmark Deals With Kalshi, Polymarket: WSJ

The league's first-ever licensing agreements with non-sportsbook platforms mark a shift in pro sports’ embrace of event-based derivatives.

(Scott Taetsch/Getty Images)

Markets

Prediction Markets Say Government Shutdown Will be Record-Setting: Asia Morning Briefing

Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing in a shutdown that lasts over 40 days.

U.S. Capitol Building (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)