Polymarket

Polymarket

News Analysis

Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds

Nearly $1 billion has been staked on the election at the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting?

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - SEPTEMBER 13: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump, watches a video of Vice President Kamala Harris during a campaign rally at The Expo at World Market Center Las Vegas on September 13, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. With 53 days before election day, Former President Trump continues to campaign.  (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Finance

Polymarket Bettors See 84% Chance of Donald Trump Starting His Own Token

The bump came as Trump said he would launch the family-helmed World Liberty Financial project on Monday.

Trump poster for 2024 election. (Jon Tyson/Unsplash)

Policy

Harris Won U.S. Presidential Debate Versus Trump, Polymarket Betting Suggests

Crypto was once again not mentioned in the second 2024 debate, the first between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Videos

Who Will 'Win' the Trump Harris Debate?; Crypto Scams in 2023

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today, as Polymarket traders are betting the traditional pollsters will give the debate to Harris, with a 74% chance that the Ipsos/538 survey will find she "wins" it. Plus, an FBI report says investors lost a record $5.6 billion to crypto-related financial crime in 2023, and insights on a financial crime fighting force created by Tron, Tether and TRM Labs.

Recent Videos

Markets

Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention

Traders see only a 17% chance that Donald Trump will say "crypto" or "bitcoin" and just 13% for Kamala Harris.

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 09: Final preparations are made in the spin room prior to the ABC News Presidential Debate on September 09, 2024 at the Convention Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump will face off in their first debate tomorrow evening at the Constitution Center. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

News Analysis

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting

Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 02: Flanked by labor union leaders, Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to union workers during a campaign event on September 02, 2024 at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan. Harris is scheduled to host another event in Pennsylvania later in the day. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Markets

Donald Trumps Harris on Polymarket Once Again

Harris led Trump in early August and betting odds reached 50-50 on the marketplace last month but shifted to Trump’s favor over the weekend.

Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)

Markets

Polymarket Bettors Miss Out on $270K Due to Pavel Durov's Early Release

Bettors were fairly sure the Telegram CEO would be released in September. His release on Wednesday tossed the market on its head.

(Pavel Durov interviewed by Tucker Carlson for his YouTube channel / Screenshot)

Videos

Will Donald Trump Drop Out of the Sept. 10 Debate?

Despite the noises Trump has made about pulling out of a Sept. 10 debate with opponent Kamala Harris, Polymarket traders seem fairly certain that the former President will show up. "Yes" shares for "Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept. 10?" are trading at 96 cents, indicating the market sees a 96% chance he will go through with it. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie presents the "Chart of the Day."

Recent Videos

Markets

Trump Unlikely to Drop Out of ABC Debate With Harris Despite Threats: Polymarket Traders

The mics probably won't be muted, traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform are signaling.

Bitcoin price could be tied to the outcome of the U.S. election, Jefferies said. (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)