Polymarket

Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris
The former president's probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding.

No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails the $2 billion traded on Polymarket since January.

Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.

Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.

Trump-Themed Tokens Surge, Bitcoin Forecast to Jump After U.S. Elections
Donald Trump-themed PoliFi tokens saw double-digit gains as the Republican presidential candidate's chances of winning the election surged to a two-month high on Polymarket. ETC Group explains why BTC could jump after the U.S. elections and CoinDesk Anchor Christine Lee presents the "Chart of the Day."

Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market
His odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have soared to a more than two-month high.

Former Bitcoin Dev Peter Todd Denies He's Satoshi Hours Before HBO Documentary Airs
"Of course I'm not Satoshi," Todd told CoinDesk Tuesday, saying that filmmaker Cullen Hoback was "grasping at straws."

Polymarket Bettors Shuffle Odds of Bitcoin's Creator Reveal Ahead of HBO Documentary
New information over the weekend shattered the consensus on who Satoshi Nakamoto might be.

Len Sassaman-Themed Memecoins Surge Ahead of HBO Bitcoin Creator Documentary
Len Sassaman-themed tokens have started to populate as the late cryptographer is widely believed on Polymarket to be identified as Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator in the upcoming HBO documentary. LEN tokens on Solana and Ethereum were issued by opportunistic traders and skyrocketed over the weekend. CoinDesk's Christine Lee presents the "Chart of the Day."

