Polymarket

Polymarket

Policy

Polymarket moves to list parlays while SEC seeks public input on prediction market ETFs

The "combinatorial outcome contracts" would resolve if every part of an underlying contract resolved, according to a filing.

CoinDesk

Markets

Polymarket unlocks $5 trillion private market for retail traders, previously reserved for elites

Polymarket’s new private-company prediction markets let retail traders bet on startup milestones once reserved for Wall Street insiders.

(Anne Nygård/Unsplash)

Videos

Polymarket turns to Chainalysis as insider trading concerns mount

A nonprofit analyzed 435,000 Polymarket contracts and found longshot bets on military outcomes succeed at rates over 50% — five times higher than other political markets. Eight wallets turned $164,000 into $1.8 million in the hours before the June 2025 Iran strike. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

Polymarket turns to Chainalysis as insider trading concerns mount

Policy

U.S. senators won't be weighing in on prediction markets bets after banning themselves

The Senate agreed unanimously to revise its rules to ban members and their staffs from wagers on prediction markets platforms.

U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno of Ohio (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Finance

Polymarket taps Chainalysis to bring Wall Street-level oversight to crypto prediction markets

By partnering with Chainalysis to monitor its blockchain data in real-time, Polymarket is signaling to both users and regulators that it is serious about eliminating insider trading and market manipulation.

Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of Polymarket (CoinDesk/Jesse Hamilton)

Markets

The Green Beret was just the start: New data suggests military insider trading crisis on Polymarket

New data shows unusually high win rates in defense bets, building on research that 3% of traders drive prices and under 1% capture most profits.

(Ryuno/Unsplash)

Finance

XO Market bets on user-generated prediction markets to rival Polymarket and Kalshi

Backed by 20VC, Picus Capital and Coinbase Ventures; XO lets users create and profit from their own prediction markets, and plans to rollout a new vault product to democratize market making.

Ali Habbabeh and Walid Al Habboul, co-founders of XO Market.

Markets

A tiny group is winning on Polymarket as under 1% of wallets take half the profits

After research showed a small minority moves prices, new data suggests an even smaller group captures roughly half of all gains.

(Julian Hochgesang/Unsplash)

Policy

CFTC sues Wisconsin in agency's legal campaign defending prediction markets authority

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission added Wisconsin to the list of states it's sued over event-contract jurisdiction, most recently New York.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

Polymarket reportedly seeking CFTC approval to reopen main exchange to U.S. traders

If approved, the move would help Polymarket compete with Kalshi in the U.S., and bring more event-trading activity under CFTC regulatory oversight.

CoinDesk