Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 33
Total Volume $3.52B
Open Interest $136.06M
Total Liquidity $253.94M
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
Powered byPredictionBubblesUpUnchangedDownUnavailable
Market overview32 markets
| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $72.8M |  Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 24.7% | 0 pp (24h) | $703.76M | Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 34.8% | -1.2 pp (24h) | $128.39M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 37% | +6.5 pp (24h) | $189.88K | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 13.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $1.83M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 14.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $64.93M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 51.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $11.17M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 3.8% | -0.2 pp (24h) | $40.97M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 83% | +0.2 pp (24h) | $96M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 93.7% | -2.25 pp (24h) | $40.94M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 18.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.27B | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 60.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $2.13M | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 5.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $11.42M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 45% | -1.5 pp (24h) | $2.59K | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $17.89M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 17.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $12.34M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Karen Bass | 64.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $13.53M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 13.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $23.11M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 87.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $10.26M | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 55.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $144.84M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 50.3% | +0.2 pp (24h) | $700.61M | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 3.4% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $35.42M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 52.5% | +2.15 pp (24h) | $36.27M | Polymarket | |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner | Politics | United Russia (ER) | 98.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.4M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 84.8% | -0.15 pp (24h) | $39.34M | Polymarket | |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Politics | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 71% | +3 pp (24h) | $318.53K | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 50.5% | +3 pp (24h) | $2.34M | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 31% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.7M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31 | 4.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $8.44M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 39.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.61M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 9.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $17.29M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 3.4% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $104.45K | Polymarket |
