Clacton by-election Winner Nigel Farage 96.4%
Count Binface 3.6%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul 0.1%
+5 more outcomes
Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 27
Total Volume $3.33B
Open Interest $109.93M
Total Liquidity $210.61M
Clacton by-election Winner 
Presidential Election Winner 2028 JD Vance 20%
Marco Rubio 14.1%
Gavin Newsom 11.8%
+34 more outcomes
Next French Presidential Election Marine Le Pen 31.2%
Édouard Philippe 26.5%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12.5%
+38 more outcomes
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by…? December 31 24.5%
October 31 12.5%
California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra 93.6%
Steve Hilton 6.5%
Rick Caruso 0.1%
+20 more outcomes
Venezuela leader end of 2026? Nicolás Maduro 80.9%
Delcy Rodríguez 12.5%
María Corina Machado 2.6%
+13 more outcomes
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Andy Burnham 99.8%
Nigel Farage 0.3%
No Next PM in 2026 0.2%
+19 more outcomes
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Gavin Newsom 20.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14.6%
Jon Ossoff 12.1%
+42 more outcomes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? August 31 5.8%
July 31 2.3%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? December 31 14.5%
October 31 8.5%
August 31 5.6%
+1 more outcome
UK social media ban in effect by…? June 30, 2027 45%
December 31, 2026 24.5%
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Democratic 58.5%
Republican 40.5%
