Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 33
Total Volume $3.52B
Open Interest $135.06M
Total Liquidity $253.61M
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
Powered byPredictionBubblesUpUnchangedDownUnavailable
Market overview33 markets
| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $72.8M |  Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 24.7% | 0 pp (24h) | $703.14M | Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 35.6% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $128.32M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 30.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $188.39K | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 86.5% | +4 pp (24h) | $1.39M | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 12.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.82M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 14.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $64.91M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 51.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $11.15M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 3.8% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $40.96M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 82.8% | 0 pp (24h) | $95.99M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 95.9% | 0 pp (24h) | $40.92M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 18.3% | -0.4 pp (24h) | $1.27B | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 59.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.13M | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 5.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $11.42M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 45% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $2.58K | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 5.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $17.89M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 17.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $12.32M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Karen Bass | 64.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $13.53M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 14.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $23.08M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 87.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $10.18M | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 58.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $144.71M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 50.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $700.37M | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 3.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $35.42M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 51.5% | +0.6 pp (24h) | $36.18M | Polymarket | |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner | Politics | United Russia (ER) | 98.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.4M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 85.1% | +0.25 pp (24h) | $39.33M | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 48.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $2.33M | Polymarket | |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Politics | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 68% | +1.5 pp (24h) | $317.7K | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31 | 4.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $8.44M | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 30.5% | +2 pp (24h) | $3.7M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 39.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.61M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 9.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $17.28M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 3.4% | -0.15 pp (24h) | $104.45K | Polymarket |
