Donald Trump Takes 19% Lead Over Kamala Harris on Polymarket

Republican nominee Donald Trump holds a substantial 19-point lead over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, according to a decentralized prediction poll on Polymarket as of Wednesday, October 16, 2024.

Trump Gains Strong Lead Over Kamala Harris on Polymarket

As of Wednesday morning, Polymarket’s 2024 Presidential Election Forecast showed Trump with 59% of votes from bettors, while Harris trails with 40.3%.

Trump's lead just set another record high against Harris.

Trump 🟥 • 57.7% chance
Harris 🟦 • 41.9% chance pic.twitter.com/jYUO5Mg3WR

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 15, 2024

Both candidates have seen shifts in their support over the past few months, but Trump made considerable gains in recent days, particularly in Polymarket’s decentralized poll.

However, formal national polls present a closer contest, with Harris holding a narrow 2-point lead over Trump.

Kamala Harris Promotes Digital Asset Initiative

The surge in Polymarket’s support for Trump, the convicted former U.S. president, comes just weeks before the election.

On Monday, Harris launched a digital asset protection initiative aimed at Black male voters, responding to Trump’s inroads with this key demographic.

“She will ensure that digital asset owners and investors benefit from a fair regulatory framework,” Harris’s campaign agenda stated. “This will protect Black men and others participating in the market.”

Meanwhile, Trump launched the official token of his family’s new crypto platform, World Liberty Financial, though some critics likened it to a pump-and-dump scheme.

Shortly after the launch, World Liberty Financial’s website crashed, with only 9,000 token holders as of Wednesday morning.

Today’s the day! @WorldLibertyFi token sale is live. Get your $WLFI tokens now. Purchase $WLFI here: https://t.co/jg1tOaHHBy pic.twitter.com/j8ewxa13wp

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 15, 2024

Donald Trump has consistently criticized the U.S. crypto regulatory framework and vowed to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler if elected, accusing him of a heavy-handed approach to regulation.

“If for some reason bad, bad things happen and we don’t win the election, those people that were under investigation and that are free as a bird right now, people that were being looked at in the crypto world, they will be living in hell because it will start the day after the election if they win,” Trump said in a recent X discussion.