Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Price Drops Below $88,000, Could Bears Win 2025 Despite New ATH?

Bitcoin is trading near $87,550, down roughly 2.6% over the past 24 hours, as short-term sentiment cools across crypto markets. Despite the pullback, the broader structure suggests consolidation rather than collapse. Bitcoin remains the largest digital asset by market value, with a capitalization of $1.74 tn, while daily trading volume holds above $42 bn, signaling continued institutional and retail participation.

Market-wide indicators reinforce the cautious tone. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index sits at 29, firmly in “fear” territory, while the Altcoin Season Index reads just 17, underscoring a decisive rotation back into Bitcoin dominance.

Total crypto market capitalization stands near $2.96 tn, down from early-December highs but still well above key long-term support levels.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Structure Signals Compression, Not Panic

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin price prediction seems bearish as BTC continues to trade inside a descending channel that has guided price action since the rejection near $94,200 earlier this month. While lower highs remain intact, downside momentum has slowed.

Price has repeatedly held above the $84,500 support zone, forming a series of higher lows that hint at buyer absorption rather than forced liquidation.

The 50-EMA and 100-EMA, clustered between $88,300 and $88,900, are acting as a compression zone. Price is hovering just below this band, often a sign of balance before expansion. Candlestick behavior reinforces this view, with recent sessions producing spinning tops and small-bodied candles, signaling indecision rather than aggressive selling.

Breakout Levels That Matter Next

From a pattern perspective, Bitcoin appears to be coiling for a directional move. A decisive break above $90,500, which aligns with the channel top and a key pivot zone, would likely open the door toward $94,200, followed by $98,000 if momentum accelerates.

Until then, technical analysis suggest a possible retest of $85,000–$84,500 before any breakout attempt.

Key levels to monitor:

• Support: $84,500, then $80,600
• Resistance: $90,500, $94,200, $98,000

Bitcoin Outlook: Consolidation Before the Next Trend Leg

While sentiment gauges remain cautious, price behavior tells a more constructive story. Bitcoin’s current range looks less like distribution and more like preparation. If BTC holds above $84,500 and reclaims $90,500, the structure supports a medium-term advance toward $98,000–$101,000.

For longer-term participants, periods of fear combined with technical compression have historically preceded stronger trend legs as confidence rebuilds.

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