US Elections

Fortune Claims Polymarket Is 'Rife' With Wash Trading
As much as a third of the prediction market's volume is inflated by traders acting as the buyer and seller — an illegal practice in TradFi — on the same trades, Fortune reported. Some could be doing it to farm a future token airdrop.

Arthur Hayes' Maelstrom Hedges U.S. Election Uncertainty With Staked USDe, Holds Large BTC, ETH Bullish Bets
"Given the uncertainty, Maelstrom has 5% of the fund in staked USDe (Ethena USD), earning roughly 13%," Hayes told CoinDesk.

Activist Group Says Kalshi’s Election Market Should Be Shut Due to 'Manipulative' Whales
Better Markets is using Polymarket's "French connection" as ammo against the prediction market's regulated competitor.

Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris
The former president's probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding.

Andy Barr's 'Vision' for House Financial Services
The Kentucky lawmaker is running to succeed crypto-advocate Patrick McHenry as chair of the powerful U.S. House Financial Services Committee.

No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails the $2 billion traded on Polymarket since January.

U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
The regulator filed its opening brief in its appeals case to tamp down on political event contracts.

Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.

Editorial: We Applaud Trump’s Crypto Efforts Though His Record, Rhetoric Raise Red Flags
The former president deserves credit for making crypto a campaign issue. We wish his opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, would say more about it.

