Predictions

Predictions

CoinDesk Indices

Crypto Long & Short: Prediction Markets Don’t Just Forecast Power - They Reshape It

In this week’s Crypto Long & Short Newsletter, Ryan Kirkley writes on how crypto prediction markets can risk incentivizing manipulation and amplify misinformation at scale.

Train crossing bridge sunrise

Politiche

Kalshi co-founder fights back against Arizona’s ‘overstep’ in what a lawyer calls a federal-state turf war

Arizona has filed 20 criminal counts against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, accusing it of operating an illegal gambling business and offering election wagering in the state.

CoinDesk

Opinioni

The Multibillion-dollar shift turning prediction markets into a professional hedging tool

Traders are moving beyond sports bets and elections to price "unpriceable" geopolitical and policy risks that standard financial tools can’t handle.

Business hand holding chart in crystal ball

CoinDesk Indices

Crypto for Advisors: Predictions for 2026

Pantera Capital's Paul Veradittakit shares his 2026 crypto predictions: RWA tokenization, AI security advances, a big IPO wave, and the shift to institutional adoption.

2026

Mercati

Stablecoin Deals and China, Europe to Follow U.S. With Bitcoin Reserve: Wintermute Predictions

Wintermute report reviewed a strong 2024 as OTC volumes grew by 313%.

Institutional Adoption explodes in 2024 (Peter H/Pixabay)

Tecnologie

A Year of Crypto Tech In Review

A deep dive into 2024's most impactful crypto tech advancements, including Ethereum's Duncun upgrade, Solana's resurgence, and the rise of Layer-2 solutions. Plus: What to expect in 2025.


Mercati

Ether Seen Outperforming Bitcoin in 2025, Steno Research Says

Ether could more than double in price next year and reach at least $8,000, the report said.

Roller blading race (Indira Tjokorda/Unsplash)

Mercati

Bitcoin to Hit Record Around $185K in 2025 as Nation States Buy: Galaxy Research

The move higher will be driven by institutional, corporate and nation-state adoption, the report said.

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz: ‘Crypto Revolution Is Here’

Opinioni

Three Predictions For 2025

2024 has been a pivotal year for crypto. However, the real turning point is still to come. Here are three predictions for 2025 that could help ignite it, says Marcin Kazmierczak.

Nasa rocket (CoinDesk Archives)

Tecnologie

The Protocol: Polymarket Feeds Political Junkies, With Nate Silver

In this week's issue of CoinDesk's blockchain tech newsletter, we look at the "alternative news source" that Polymarket's prediction-betting site has become.

(Andrew Haimerl/Unsplash)