Markets
Why bitcoin’s ‘500-day rule’ faces its biggest test yet
The so-called ‘500-day rule’ says buying BTC roughly 500 days before a bitcoin halving and selling it about 500 days after would have produced profits in prior cycles.
SEC's Hester Peirce’s parting advice for crypto
CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti open on the current state of crypto and the industry's evolution before digging into the George Santos CFTC settlement and the ColdCard hardware wallet hack. They are joined by SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce, who is departing the agency for academia after nearly a decade of service. Peirce reflects on the legacy she hopes to leave and shares a piece of parting advice for the industry. Plus, insights into what the SEC can and can't do on crypto rulemaking if the CLARITY Act fails, though she remains “optimistic” that the bill will pass. And, Rebecca and Renato name Senators Thom Tillis (R-NC) and Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) as their bipartisan Person of the Week for the ethics compromise they delivered to the White House. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Find out more at realfi.co.
Coinbase missed again, Strategy sells Bitcoin, and is PayPal for sale?
On this episode of CoinDesk's Public Keys from the New York Stock Exchange, Jennifer Sanasie is joined by Clear Street Managing Directors and Senior Analysts Owen Lau and Brian Dobson to break down a heavy week of earnings: Strategy's first quarter selling Bitcoin, Coinbase's third straight quarterly miss and Stripe and Advent's bid for PayPal. Then, after a look at ETF flows and Morgan Stanley's launch of the market's cheapest spot Ethereum and Solana ETFs at 14 basis points. Plus, Grayscale Head of Trading and Capital Markets Krista Lynch unpacks the state of crypto ETF flows and Altius co-founder and CEO Annabelle Huang makes sense of the macro backdrop along with her bear case for Bitcoin to dip to the $40K range. - Learn more at https://www.bullish.com/. - Register now for CoinDesk's Policy and Regulation event on September 24, 2026: https://policy-regulation.coindesk.com/. - To get market moving news delivered daily, download CoinDesk’s mobile app: https://linktr.ee/coindeskapp.
Could Wisconsin strip your voting rights for using prediction markets?
On CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol, Renato Mariotti is joined by guest host Ari Redbord, Global Head of Policy at TRM Labs, for a conversation on the politics of the CLARITY Act, the state-vs-federal fight over prediction markets, and Wisconsin's invocation of an 1849 law that could bar prediction-market users from voting. And, they sit down with Rachel Anderica, Head of Global Operations at Anchorage Digital, who walks through Anchorage's agentic banking build inside its OCC trust and a "cashless reserves" model in partnership with JPMorgan. Plus, the hosts name the TradFi endorsers of CLARITY — BlackRock, Fidelity, and Goldman Sachs — as the Person of the Week.
Wall Street giants back $15M push to quantum-proof Bitcoin as the CLARITY Act nears a do-or-die deadline
On this episode of CoinDesk's Public Keys from the New York Stock Exchange, Jennifer Sanasie is joined by Charles Schwab Head of Crypto Research Jim Ferraioli, who breaks down the odds of a Fed hike, why he believes the CLARITY Act is not yet priced into Bitcoin, and his finding that some 60% of Bitcoin's daily price move can't be tied to macro factors. Galaxy Head of Firmwide Research Alex Thorn unpacks the newly launched $15 million Bitcoin Security Consortium — backed by nine firms including BlackRock, Coinbase, Fidelity, Galaxy, and Strategy — and Galaxy's own $5 million Bitcoin Quantum Readiness Initiative, while making the case that CLARITY is in its "11th hour" ahead of the August recess. Finally, FalconX Head of Derivatives Griffin Sears kicks off CoinDesk's Perps Week, explaining how perpetual futures jumped from crypto into oil, single-name equities, and pre-IPO SpaceX exposure. Plus, a look at ETF flows and a Crypto Fear & Greed reading stuck at 30.
White House's Patrick Witt: CLARITY is 'not a giveaway' to crypto and Trump's 'historic' ethics concession
CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti open on the week's biggest policy news from SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce's statement on crypto vaults to the London Stock Exchange's launch of a 24/5 tokenized market. Then, Patrick Witt, Executive Director of the President's Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, joins to make the case that the CLARITY Act deserves a Senate floor vote before the August recess and argues that President Trump's agreement to subject himself to conduct restrictions is a "historic" and unprecedented ethics concession. Witt also breaks down the CFTC's expanded mission and the fight over funding and staffing. Plus, Rebecca and Renato debrief on the lessons of MiCA and the state of bipartisan compromise on the Hill, and name the state attorneys general, led by an op-ed from Montana's AG, as their Person of the Week.
Bitcoin rally faces key test at $68,000 as 'summer slumber' grips crypto, analysts say
BTC has rebounded 15% from the July lows, but some analysts cautioned that the next move hinges on clearing a level where many recent buyers may look to sell.
AI shock spares Bitcoin, Wall Street moves on-chain, and leveraged crypto ETFs explained
On this episode of CoinDesk's Public Keys from the New York Stock Exchange, Jennifer Sanasie is joined by Ben Emons, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of FedWatch Advisors, to break down the market fallout from Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 and why the Fed is now actively debating rate hikes rather than cuts ahead of the August 7th CLARITY Act deadline. Nadine Chakar, Managing Director and Global Head of Digital Assets at DTCC, explains how the firm moved tokenized securities into live production and outlines DTCC's role as an institutional multi-chain orchestrator ahead of a full commercial launch. The conversation turns to ETF flows, where Bitcoin funds finished last week with $76 million in net inflows despite a $425 million outflow on Monday alone, and Ethereum ETFs outpaced Bitcoin inflows led by $135 million into BlackRock's ETHA. Finally, Bilal Little, Global ETF Strategist at Direxion, unpacks the debut of BTCU and EVMU — the industry's first 2x leveraged spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs — explains why an ETF wrapper beats margin on a crypto exchange for retail traders, and responds to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas's thesis that Bitcoin ETFs will mirror gold's 22-year "triumph and pain" trajectory. The episode closes with the Fear and Greed Index at 29.
Sen. Hagerty says Warren tried to 'destroy' GENIUS, warns CLARITY faces political headwinds
CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol host Rebecca Rettig is joined by guest co-host Ryan VanGrack, Coinbase's newly appointed Vice Chairman, to unpack the week's biggest crypto policy developments. They begin with the escalating legal standoff between Kalshi, the state of Michigan and the CFTC, before turning to the U.S.-U.K.'s new joint recommendations on stablecoins and tokenized assets. On the one-year anniversary of the GENIUS Act, Rebecca sits down with the bill's architect, Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-Tenn.), who reflects on the legislative battle to pass the landmark stablecoin law and explains why the CLARITY Act now faces an even more challenging political path. The episode closes with Hero of the Week Harry Jung, Patrick Whitt's deputy who is stepping into a leading White House role on crypto policy while Whitt takes military leave, and Zero of the Week Sam Bankman-Fried, after the Senate unanimously passed a resolution opposing any pardon or commutation for the former FTX founder.
Bitcoin panic-selling may be ending as sellers' profit margins disappear
Analysts point to bitcoin’s resilience amid fresh U.S.-Iran escalation and renewed spot ETF inflows as the clearest signs yet that the marginal seller has stepped away.
