Kalshi

Kalshi

Finance

XO Market bets on user-generated prediction markets to rival Polymarket and Kalshi

Backed by 20VC, Picus Capital and Coinbase Ventures; XO lets users create and profit from their own prediction markets, and plans to rollout a new vault product to democratize market making.

Ali Habbabeh and Walid Al Habboul, co-founders of XO Market.

Markets

A tiny group is winning on Polymarket as under 1% of wallets take half the profits

After research showed a small minority moves prices, new data suggests an even smaller group captures roughly half of all gains.

(Julian Hochgesang/Unsplash)

Policy

CFTC sues Wisconsin in agency's legal campaign defending prediction markets authority

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission added Wisconsin to the list of states it's sued over event-contract jurisdiction, most recently New York.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

U.S. CFTC adds New York to string of states its suing to stop prediction market pushback

The federal regulator has been suing states that seek to curtail prediction markets activity and claim it should be deemed state-regulated gaming.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

Wisconsin joins prediction market fight, suing Kalshi, Coinbase, Polymarket, Robinhood and Crypto.com

The state's complaint highlights language used by prediction market platforms as language for gambling, not investing.

CoinDesk

Policy

Kalshi flags more insider trading cases, including politician who appeared on FBoy Island

The prediction market platform, which has been caught in the middle of a regulatory battle between the feds and the states, is seeking to demonstrate strong controls.

Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

U.S. CFTC's Selig says AI has helped make up for staffing cuts at key crypto watchdog

Chairman Mike Selig faces explosive new market duties with crypto and prediction markets, where he said "numerous investigations" have begun.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Markets

Prediction market volumes to hit $1 trillion by 2030 with Robinhood, Coinbase as key players, Bernstein says

The broker said prediction markets are scaling into a trillion-dollar asset class, driven by regulatory clarity, crypto rails and distribution via major trading platforms.

Four people at a bar watch sports on a bank of television screens. (Amit Lahav/Unsplash)

Policy

CFTC Chair Mike Selig argues for agency's 'exclusive regulatory authority' in prediction markets fight: State of Crypto

Selig said states do not have the ability to police prediction market providers, echoing his agency's stance as it pursues court cases to cement its authority.

CFTC Chairman Mike Selig, speaking at the Vanderbilt University digital assets summit on April 6, 2026. (Nikihlesh De/CoinDesk)

Videos

Market structure bill delayed as crypto, banks meet lawmakers

Crypto and banking leaders are meeting with legislative staffers to hash out the future of U.S. stablecoins. The market structure bill is now delayed again and the fight over yield isn't the only hurdle as lawmakers finalize on DeFi regulations and concerns over President Trump's family crypto projects. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

Market structure bill delayed as crypto, banks meet lawmakers