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This Blockchain Indicator Might Show Bitcoin Rally Has Legs
Historically, the periods the MVRV ratio has dropped below 1.0 have been some of the best times to invest in BTC, according to Coin Metrics.
Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:10 p.m. Published Mar 16, 2021, 8:03 p.m.
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Bitcoin’s price has nearly doubled this year, but the rally could have room to run. That’s based on a new report by Coin Metrics, a cryptocurrency data firm, which shows bitcoin (BTC) is not at an extreme relative to the previous market top in 2018.
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The MVRV ratio is a measure of bitcoin’s market value relative to its realized value. The gauge represents the difference between the cryptocurrency's current price and the average price at which bitcoins were acquired. When it reaches an extreme, the thinking goes, traders might be inclined to take profits, creating sell pressure that could push price down.
- The near 20% bitcoin sell-off from an all-time-high around $60,000 last week triggered a decline in the MVRV ratio to 0.88.
- “Historically, the periods that MVRV has dropped below 1.0 have been some of the best times to invest in BTC,” according to Coin Metrics.
- The MVRV indicator reached an extreme around 4 in 2018, and near 6 in 2014, just prior to the start of bear markets.
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What to know:
- KuCoin recorded over $1.25 trillion in total trading volume in 2025, equivalent to an average of roughly $114 billion per month, marking its strongest year on record.
- This performance translated into an all-time high share of centralised exchange volume, as KuCoin’s activity expanded faster than aggregate CEX volumes, which slowed during periods of lower market volatility.
- Spot and derivatives volumes were evenly split, each exceeding $500 billion for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line.
- Altcoins accounted for the majority of trading activity, reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover.
- Even as overall crypto volumes softened mid-year, KuCoin maintained elevated baseline activity, indicating structurally higher user engagement rather than short-lived volume spikes.
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What to know:
- Bitcoin is off its worst levels of the weekend, but still near the year's low at $87,700.
- Facing the same news cycle as crypto, precious metals continued to surge higher, but a quick retreat from their highs on Monday suggested a bit of exhaustion was setting in.
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