Polymarket

Polymarket

Markets

Caroline Ellison ne purgera probablement T de peine, selon Polymarket Traders

De plus : le marché est sceptique quant à l'accord de Qualcomm avec Intel ; les Marchés de prédiction étaient en vogue au Token2049 à Singapour.

Caroline Ellison, the government's star witness in their case against FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, leaving court on Tuesday, Oct. 11 following her first day of testimony. (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)

News Analysis

La deuxième tentative d'assassinat ne fait guère bouger les chances de Trump de remporter le marché polymarché

Près d'un milliard de dollars ont été misés sur l'élection sur le marché des prédictions cryptographiques. Et vous, êtes-vous prêt à parier sur les élections avec un effet de levier de 20x ?

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - SEPTEMBER 13: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump, watches a video of Vice President Kamala Harris during a campaign rally at The Expo at World Market Center Las Vegas on September 13, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. With 53 days before election day, Former President Trump continues to campaign.  (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Finance

Les parieurs de Polymarket voient 84 % de chances que Donald Trump lance son propre jeton

Cette augmentation est survenue alors que Trump a annoncé qu'il lancerait lundi le projet familial World Liberty Financial.

Trump poster for 2024 election. (Jon Tyson/Unsplash)

Policy

Harris a remporté le débat présidentiel américain face à Trump, selon Polymarket Betting

La Crypto n'a une fois de plus pas été évoquée lors du deuxième débat de 2024, le premier entre Kamala Harris et Donald Trump.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Videos

Who Will 'Win' the Trump Harris Debate?; Crypto Scams in 2023

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today, as Polymarket traders are betting the traditional pollsters will give the debate to Harris, with a 74% chance that the Ipsos/538 survey will find she "wins" it. Plus, an FBI report says investors lost a record $5.6 billion to crypto-related financial crime in 2023, and insights on a financial crime fighting force created by Tron, Tether and TRM Labs.

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Markets

Débat Trump-Harris : Polymarket montre que les Crypto sont peu susceptibles d'être évoquées

Les traders voient seulement 17% de chances que Donald Trump dise «Crypto» ou «Bitcoin» et seulement 13% pour Kamala Harris.

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 09: Final preparations are made in the spin room prior to the ABC News Presidential Debate on September 09, 2024 at the Convention Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump will face off in their first debate tomorrow evening at the Constitution Center. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

News Analysis

Kamala Harris « WIN» son premier débat avec Trump, parient les traders de Polymarket

Il existe également désormais des contrats de marché de prédiction sur d’autres contrats de marché de prédiction.

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 02: Flanked by labor union leaders, Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to union workers during a campaign event on September 02, 2024 at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan. Harris is scheduled to host another event in Pennsylvania later in the day. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Markets

Donald Trump contre Harris sur Polymarket une fois de plus

Harris a devancé Trump début août et les cotes des paris ont atteint 50-50 sur le marché le mois dernier, mais ont basculé en faveur de Trump au cours du week-end.

Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)

Markets

Les parieurs de Polymarket ratent 270 000 $ en raison de la libération anticipée de Pavel Durov

Les parieurs étaient quasiment certains que le PDG de Telegram serait libéré en septembre. Sa libération mercredi a bouleversé le marché.

(Pavel Durov interviewed by Tucker Carlson for his YouTube channel / Screenshot)

Videos

Will Donald Trump Drop Out of the Sept. 10 Debate?

Despite the noises Trump has made about pulling out of a Sept. 10 debate with opponent Kamala Harris, Polymarket traders seem fairly certain that the former President will show up. "Yes" shares for "Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept. 10?" are trading at 96 cents, indicating the market sees a 96% chance he will go through with it. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie presents the "Chart of the Day."

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