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Mercados de previsão de Politics
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Volume de US$ 261.607 (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
Volume de US$ 260.931 (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
Volume de US$ 103.556 (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Volume de US$ 91.687 (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- US$ 100 → $769
- US$ 100 → $114
Volume de US$ 61.941 (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
Volume de US$ 57.122 (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
Volume de US$ 54.811 (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
Volume de US$ 50.425 (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 41.678 (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Howard Lutnick
Pete Hegseth
Volume de US$ 38.605 (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Volume de US$ 37.994 (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
Volume de US$ 37.261 (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 230
Above 218
Volume de US$ 27.802 (24h)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Bill Cassidy
Rand Paul
Volume de US$ 24.251 (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Pete Hegseth
Volume de US$ 22.973 (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 16.979 (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- US$ 100 → $1,429
- US$ 100 → $106
Volume de US$ 15.274 (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 15.219 (24h)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
James Comey
Ilhan Omar
Volume de US$ 14.513 (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
Volume de US$ 14.347 (24h)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- US$ 100 → $455
- US$ 100 → $127
Volume de US$ 13.319 (24h)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- US$ 100 → $102
- US$ 100 → $3,333
Volume de US$ 13.122 (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- US$ 100 → $5,556
- US$ 100 → $101
mai. 1 · 2:00AM
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 11.179 (24h)
Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?
- US$ 100 → $115
- US$ 100 → $588
Volume de US$ 10.317 (24h)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before May 1, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
Volume de US$ 10.251 (24h)
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Volume de US$ 8.696 (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
Volume de US$ 7.030 (24h)
Which DHS components will receive more funding before May?
TSA
FEMA
Volume de US$ 6.852 (24h)
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (4/19-4/25)
120-139
180-199
Volume de US$ 6.596 (24h)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 6.514 (24h)
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
- US$ 100 → $769
- US$ 100 → $114
Volume de US$ 6.455 (24h)
