Science and Technology Marchés de prédiction
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 25 · 4:00AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 $ → $481
- 100 $ → $126
Volume : 115 195 $US (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
avr. 25 · 4:00AM
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
avr. 30 · 4:00AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Volume : 16 462 $US (24h)
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Volume : 9 933 $US (24h)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 $ → $270
- 100 $ → $154
Volume : 7 248 $US (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Volume : 5 403 $US (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 30 · 4:00AM
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $104
- 100 $ → $909
Volume : 2 395 $US (24h)
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Volume : 2 378 $US (24h)
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
Volume : 1 558 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.50
Above $4.52
Volume : 1 550 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.09
Above $1.06
Volume : 1 379 $US (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 $ → $376
- 100 $ → $135
Volume : 1 274 $US (24h)
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Dola
avr. 25 · 4:00AM
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
juil. 1 · 4:00AM
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.92
Above $1.77
Volume : 861 $US (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Volume : 862 $US (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
juin 30 · 4:00AM
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
Volume : 741 $US (24h)
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $112
- 100 $ → $588
Volume : 605 $US (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Volume : 594 $US (24h)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before November
Before September
Volume : 469 $US (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 $ → $172
- 100 $ → $231
Volume : 455 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.48
Above $0.46
Volume : 451 $US (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- 100 $ → $256
- 100 $ → $156
Volume : 402 $US (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- 100 $ → $455
- 100 $ → $116
Volume : 377 $US (24h)
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- 100 $ → $526
- 100 $ → $122
Volume : 258 $US (24h)
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before 2028
Before July 2027
juin 30 · 4:00AM
