Science and Technology Prédictions
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
Volume : 81 $US (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1550 score
At least 1575 score
juil. 1 · 4:00AM
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
Volume : 965 $US (24h)
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
Volume : 152 $US (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- 100 $ → $154
- 100 $ → $256
Volume : 296 $US (24h)
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
At least 450
Volume : 0 $US (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Radiant Industries
Antares Nuclear
Volume : 2 179 $US (24h)
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
- 100 $ → $185
- 100 $ → $196
Volume : 11 $US (24h)
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
- 100 $ → $263
- 100 $ → $154
Volume : 2 $US (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
Jack Thorne
Volume : 54 $US (24h)
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2035
Before 2030
Volume : 335 $US (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- 100 $ → $185
- 100 $ → $196
Volume : 278 $US (24h)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- 100 $ → $169
- 100 $ → $238
Volume : 1 701 $US (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
Best AI in Mar 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Volume : 20 298 $US (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- 100 $ → $250
- 100 $ → $159
Volume : 27 $US (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 6000
Above 8000
Volume : 4 380 $US (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 $ → $189
- 100 $ → $208
Volume : 10 $US (24h)
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
Volume : 0 $US (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Gemini
Claude
Volume : 164 $US (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
Volume : 205 $US (24h)
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Clip-on device for clothing
Volume : 942 $US (24h)
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2040
Before 2035
Volume : 48 $US (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- 100 $ → $208
- 100 $ → $175
Volume : 60 $US (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Volume : 2 988 $US (24h)
Top AI model this week?
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
mars 7 · 5:00AM
What will be the top AI model this month?
claude-opus-4-6
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
mars 30 · 10:00PM
US test scores in Math in 2026?
No significant difference
Significant decrease
Volume : 269 $US (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
Volume : 37 $US (24h)
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
- 100 $ → $179
- 100 $ → $217
Volume : 675 $US (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Volume : 3 607 $US (24h)
