Science and Technology Marchés de prédiction
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 25 · 4:00AM
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
avr. 30 · 4:00AM

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 $ → $485
- 100 $ → $126
Volume : 80 668 $US (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
avr. 25 · 4:00AM

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Volume : 14 966 $US (24h)

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 $ → $222
- 100 $ → $175
Volume : 11 331 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.07
Above $1.06
Volume : 6 983 $US (24h)

Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Volume : 5 956 $US (24h)

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Volume : 5 159 $US (24h)
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $159
- 100 $ → $256
Volume : 3 245 $US (24h)
NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $110
- 100 $ → $625
Volume : 3 169 $US (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 30 · 4:00AM

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Volume : 2 529 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.46
Above $0.48
Volume : 2 268 $US (24h)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $132
- 100 $ → $313
Volume : 1 487 $US (24h)

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 $ → $385
- 100 $ → $132
Volume : 1 449 $US (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Volume : 1 236 $US (24h)
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $286
- 100 $ → $147
Volume : 1 231 $US (24h)

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- 100 $ → $143
- 100 $ → $303
Volume : 1 105 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.92
Above $1.86
Volume : 912 $US (24h)

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
déc. 31 · 1:00PM

NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Volume : 749 $US (24h)

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Volume : 683 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.52
Above $4.51
Volume : 593 $US (24h)

AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
juil. 1 · 4:00AM

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- 100 $ → $500
- 100 $ → $123
Volume : 450 $US (24h)

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
- 100 $ → $204
- 100 $ → $172
Volume : 465 $US (24h)

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
Volume : 413 $US (24h)
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 25 · 4:00AM

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 $ → $171
- 100 $ → $239
Volume : 312 $US (24h)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Clip-on device for clothing
Volume : 321 $US (24h)