Politics Marchés de prédiction
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Volume : 270 950 $US (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
Volume : 105 340 $US (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
Volume : 87 064 $US (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
Volume : 59 184 $US (24h)
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (4/12-4/18)
180-199
100-119
Volume : 55 738 $US (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
Volume : 54 428 $US (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth
Tulsi Gabbard
Volume : 41 791 $US (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
Volume : 33 887 $US (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Volume : 23 483 $US (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Pete Hegseth
Volume : 23 009 $US (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 230
Above 218
Volume : 21 697 $US (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
Volume : 21 509 $US (24h)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Volume : 17 288 $US (24h)
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
Volume : 16 202 $US (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Volume : 14 243 $US (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Volume : 14 126 $US (24h)
Who will visit Venezuela before May?
Edmundo González Urrutia
María Corina Machado
Volume : 14 055 $US (24h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Volume : 13 515 $US (24h)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/12 - 4/18)
- 100 $ → --
- 100 $ → $10,000
Volume : 12 897 $US (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- 100 $ → $833
- 100 $ → $112
Volume : 11 063 $US (24h)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- 100 $ → $625
- 100 $ → $118
Volume : 9 229 $US (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/12-4/18)
- 100 $ → $1,429
- 100 $ → $103
Volume : 9 162 $US (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
Volume : 8 763 $US (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Hassett
Volume : 8 076 $US (24h)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
Critical-minerals stockpile
Volume : 7 859 $US (24h)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
Volume : 7 366 $US (24h)
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
Claudia Sheinbaum
Xi Jinping
Volume : 6 691 $US (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
Volume : 5 368 $US (24h)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Rand Paul
Susan Collins
Volume : 5 321 $US (24h)
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
Below 300
Between 300 and 349
Volume : 5 221 $US (24h)
Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
Volume : 5 132 $US (24h)
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Volume : 4 608 $US (24h)
