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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
abr 25 · 4:00a. m.
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 USD → $463
- 100 USD → $127
Vol. 91.180 US$ (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. 34.863 US$ (24h)
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Dola
abr 25 · 4:00a. m.
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. 10.998 US$ (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
abr 25 · 4:00a. m.
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
Qwen
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Vol. 6685 US$ (24h)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 USD → $227
- 100 USD → $175
Vol. 6073 US$ (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Vol. 5646 US$ (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.53
Above $4.54
Vol. 2332 US$ (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
jun 30 · 4:00a. m.
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.45
Above $0.46
Vol. 1916 US$ (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
jul 1 · 4:00a. m.
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Vol. 1396 US$ (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 USD → $370
- 100 USD → $131
Vol. 1154 US$ (24h)
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 USD → $110
- 100 USD → $101
Vol. 944 US$ (24h)
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
Vol. 855 US$ (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
Yu Deng
Vol. 840 US$ (24h)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
Vol. 770 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.82
Above $1.90
Vol. 684 US$ (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Vol. 670 US$ (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. 607 US$ (24h)
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- 100 USD → $192
- 100 USD → $204
Vol. 455 US$ (24h)
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 USD → $103
- 100 USD → $714
Vol. 445 US$ (24h)
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- 100 USD → $323
- 100 USD → $135
Vol. 313 US$ (24h)
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- 100 USD → $526
- 100 USD → $122
Vol. 286 US$ (24h)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 USD → $141
- 100 USD → $116
Vol. 283 US$ (24h)
