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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
abr 25 · 4:00a. m.
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 USD → $465
- 100 USD → $127
Vol. 84.497 US$ (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. 23.627 US$ (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Vol. 14.928 US$ (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
abr 25 · 4:00a. m.
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 USD → $294
- 100 USD → $149
Vol. 5365 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.53
Above $4.55
Vol. 5241 US$ (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Vol. 1668 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.45
Above $0.46
Vol. 1648 US$ (24h)
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
before December
before November
ago 31 · 4:00a. m.
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
abr 25 · 4:00a. m.
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
Vol. 1439 US$ (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 USD → $372
- 100 USD → $132
Vol. 1406 US$ (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
jul 1 · 4:00a. m.
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Vol. 1320 US$ (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Vol. 1291 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.07
Above $1.06
Vol. 1109 US$ (24h)
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 USD → $108
- 100 USD → $625
Vol. 918 US$ (24h)
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 USD → $400
- 100 USD → $122
Vol. 753 US$ (24h)
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
Vol. 617 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.92
Above $1.91
Vol. 526 US$ (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 USD → $172
- 100 USD → $227
Vol. 479 US$ (24h)
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
- 100 USD → $313
- 100 USD → $132
Vol. 443 US$ (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. 267 US$ (24h)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 USD → $104
- 100 USD → $909
Vol. 249 US$ (24h)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- 100 USD → $909
- 100 USD → $110
Vol. 226 US$ (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
jun 30 · 4:00a. m.
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- 100 USD → $400
- 100 USD → $122
Vol. 204 US$ (24h)
