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Mercados de predicción Politics
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2027
Before July 2026
Vol. 310.090 US$ (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- 100 USD → $10,000
- 100 USD → --
Vol. 232.635 US$ (24h)
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 212.458 US$ (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
Vol. 149.891 US$ (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- 100 USD → $1,000
- 100 USD → $111
Vol. 113.573 US$ (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
Vol. 111.032 US$ (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
Vol. 90.199 US$ (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before August
Before September
Vol. 79.037 US$ (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 63.610 US$ (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
Vol. 60.267 US$ (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 58.704 US$ (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
2
Vol. 54.550 US$ (24h)
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
Vol. 51.882 US$ (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Karoline Leavitt
Pete Hegseth
Vol. 48.650 US$ (24h)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/20 - 4/26)
Above 30
Above 40
Vol. 43.386 US$ (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol. 41.444 US$ (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
Above 1,000
Vol. 41.299 US$ (24h)
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 25.965 US$ (24h)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
- 100 USD → $1,111
- 100 USD → $109
Vol. 22.339 US$ (24h)
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
- 100 USD → $1,000
- 100 USD → $108
Vol. 21.945 US$ (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 230
Above 218
Vol. 21.094 US$ (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
Vol. 16.431 US$ (24h)
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Vol. 15.503 US$ (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- 100 USD → $10,000
- 100 USD → $101
may 1 · 2:00a. m.
When will Trump visit China?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 14.363 US$ (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 13.053 US$ (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Tulsi Gabbard
Howard Lutnick
Vol. 12.568 US$ (24h)
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
- 100 USD → $588
- 100 USD → $116
Vol. 11.691 US$ (24h)
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
Vol. 10.125 US$ (24h)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- 100 USD → $154
- 100 USD → $278
Vol. 9683 US$ (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
Vol. 9311 US$ (24h)
When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?
Before May 4, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
Vol. 9000 US$ (24h)
