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Science and Technology Prognosen
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 USD → $500
- 100 USD → $123
214.281 $ Volumen (24h)
Best AI in Feb 2026?
Claude
Gemini
102.856 $ Volumen (24h)
What will be the top AI model this month?
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
43.729 $ Volumen (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Gemini
Claude
25.734 $ Volumen (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2028
Before 2027
5.686 $ Volumen (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 6000
Above 8000
3.600 $ Volumen (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
3.600 $ Volumen (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
2.897 $ Volumen (24h)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- 100 USD → $204
- 100 USD → $192
2.145 $ Volumen (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
1.621 $ Volumen (24h)
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Antares Nuclear
1.334 $ Volumen (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1550 score
At least 1575 score
1.276 $ Volumen (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 USD → $400
- 100 USD → $132
1.169 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- 100 USD → $303
- 100 USD → $143
1.125 $ Volumen (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
664 $ Volumen (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 USD → $185
- 100 USD → $208
476 $ Volumen (24h)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before July
Before April
467 $ Volumen (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
Jack Thorne
455 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- 100 USD → $179
- 100 USD → $222
385 $ Volumen (24h)
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
373 $ Volumen (24h)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2027?
- 100 USD → $294
- 100 USD → $147
318 $ Volumen (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- 100 USD → $196
- 100 USD → $192
318 $ Volumen (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
311 $ Volumen (24h)
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before May
Before April
300 $ Volumen (24h)
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
- 100 USD → $345
- 100 USD → $135
289 $ Volumen (24h)
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Computer
Clip-on device for clothing
288 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Trump make IVF free?
- 100 USD → $526
- 100 USD → $116
248 $ Volumen (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- 100 USD → $200
- 100 USD → $185
237 $ Volumen (24h)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- 100 USD → $625
- 100 USD → $118
216 $ Volumen (24h)
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- 100 USD → $400
- 100 USD → $132
183 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
- 100 USD → $104
- 100 USD → $1,429
172 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- 100 USD → $294
- 100 USD → $147
168 $ Volumen (24h)
