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Science and Technology Prognosemärkte
Best AI this week
ChatGPT
Muse
Apr. 25 · 4:00AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 USD → $442
- 100 USD → $129
99.205 $ Volumen (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
Apr. 25 · 4:00AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dez. 31 · 1:00PM
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
Apr. 30 · 4:00AM
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
15.828 $ Volumen (24h)
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before June
Before July
12.894 $ Volumen (24h)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 USD → $172
- 100 USD → $200
9.135 $ Volumen (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr. 30 · 4:00AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
2.951 $ Volumen (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
1.884 $ Volumen (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
1.620 $ Volumen (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 USD → $372
- 100 USD → $132
1.611 $ Volumen (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Juli 1 · 4:00AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dez. 31 · 1:00PM
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 USD → $185
- 100 USD → $204
1.237 $ Volumen (24h)
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
- 100 USD → $526
- 100 USD → $118
1.050 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
- 100 USD → $111
- 100 USD → $909
895 $ Volumen (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
Yu Deng
855 $ Volumen (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
766 $ Volumen (24h)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before October
Before July
674 $ Volumen (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
644 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- 100 USD → $370
- 100 USD → $132
653 $ Volumen (24h)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before 2027
Before September
Apr. 14 · 4:00AM
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 USD → $313
- 100 USD → $135
623 $ Volumen (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
594 $ Volumen (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
534 $ Volumen (24h)
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
- 100 USD → $370
- 100 USD → $125
457 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- 100 USD → $141
- 100 USD → $294
427 $ Volumen (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.91
Above $1.86
427 $ Volumen (24h)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- 100 USD → $1,000
- 100 USD → $110
324 $ Volumen (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Juni 30 · 4:00AM
