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Politics Prognosemärkte
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2027
Before July 2026
284.276 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- 100 USD → $10,000
- 100 USD → --
257.374 $ Volumen (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
242.801 $ Volumen (24h)
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
207.786 $ Volumen (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
138.780 $ Volumen (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- 100 USD → $1,000
- 100 USD → $110
109.019 $ Volumen (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
92.524 $ Volumen (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before August
Before July
78.561 $ Volumen (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
65.154 $ Volumen (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
2
61.518 $ Volumen (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
57.348 $ Volumen (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Howard Lutnick
Lee Zeldin
54.882 $ Volumen (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
45.232 $ Volumen (24h)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/20 - 4/26)
Above 30
Above 40
43.284 $ Volumen (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
42.165 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
36.083 $ Volumen (24h)
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
29.663 $ Volumen (24h)
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
28.505 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
- 100 USD → $1,020
- 100 USD → $110
21.734 $ Volumen (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
21.132 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
- 100 USD → $1,111
- 100 USD → $109
20.560 $ Volumen (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- 100 USD → $10,000
- 100 USD → $101
Mai 1 · 2:00AM
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
15.909 $ Volumen (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Tulsi Gabbard
Howard Lutnick
12.081 $ Volumen (24h)
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
11.520 $ Volumen (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
11.515 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
10.834 $ Volumen (24h)
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
- 100 USD → $556
- 100 USD → $118
10.797 $ Volumen (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 218
Above 230
9.450 $ Volumen (24h)
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (4/19-4/25)
120-139
140-159
9.167 $ Volumen (24h)
When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?
Before May 4, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
8.894 $ Volumen (24h)
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- 100 USD → $455
- 100 USD → $127
8.258 $ Volumen (24h)
