Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…? Yes 85.8%
No 14.2%
Polymarket Prediction Markets
Browse active prediction markets from Polymarket, track current probabilities, and compare outcomes across the platform.
Total Active Markets 8
Total Volume $56.03M
Open Interest $3.7M
Total Liquidity $5.38M
Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…? 
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? No 89%
Yes 11%
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? 50%+ 6.5%
45%+ 4.5%
55%+ 1.5%
Which company has best AI model end of June? Anthropic 98.9%
OpenAI 0.3%
Google 0.2%
+12 more outcomes
Largest Company end of June? NVIDIA 99.4%
Apple 0.3%
Alphabet 0.3%
+4 more outcomes
AI bubble burst in 2026? No 81.4%
Yes 18.6%
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? December 31 97.9%
August 31 93.9%
July 31 85.8%
+5 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 85.5%
Anthropic 13.4%
OpenAI 0.9%
+9 more outcomes
