Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by…? December 31 22.5%
October 31 12.5%
One Off Predictions
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 95
Total Volume $8.74B
Open Interest $278.2M
Total Liquidity $328.08M
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by…? 
California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra 92.5%
Steve Hilton 6.6%
Chad Bianco 0.2%
+20 more outcomes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? December 31 5.5%
September 30 3%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98.1%
Yes 2%
GPT-6 release date December 31, 2026 87%
September 30, 2026 72.5%
August 31, 2026 33%
+4 more outcomes
What will Anthropic’s valuation hit by December 31? $1.25T 91.5%
$1.5T 65%
$1.75T 45.5%
+8 more outcomes
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Andy Burnham 100%
Shabana Mahmood 0.1%
Lucy Powell 0.1%
+19 more outcomes
Venezuela leader end of 2026? Nicolás Maduro 80.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 12%
María Corina Machado 2.2%
+13 more outcomes
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Gavin Newsom 19.8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14.5%
Jon Ossoff 14.1%
+42 more outcomes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? August 31 9.4%
July 31 3.6%
Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026? Shabana Mahmood 90.2%
Yvette Cooper 5.5%
Ed Miliband 3.4%
+8 more outcomes
Satoshi’s identity proven in 2026? December 31 3.7%
July 31 0.2%
