Regional policy, exchange hubs, tokenization, and sovereign initiatives across the Middle East.
Bitcoin’s post-Hormuz rally faces a weekend test as Iran disputes Trump’s deal claims and shipping, oil, and bond risks remain unresolved.
Liam 'Akiba' Wright 7 min read 
BTC's rally triggered heavy short liquidations across the crypto market and strengthened bullish positioning in options and prediction markets.
Vessel traffic through Hormuz fell into single digits in early March as the conflict spread into shipping, fuel, and trade flows with knock-on risks for the macro backdrop behind Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is still holding gains, but fading Iran optimism and soft on-chain signals leave the rebound on uncertain footing.
The move would push Bitcoin into a live trade chokepoint where sanctions, shipping delays, and market risk collide.
Trump threatened catastrophe, but oil and Bitcoin were already telling a different story.
Bitcoin is holding support for now, but rising oil is making the next move more fragile.
Rising oil prices and weak demand are exposing Bitcoin’s dependence on liquidity as war risk intensifies.
Bitcoin acts as the only live market as key economic data lands during Easter shutdown while war stress continues.
