Bitcoin Price Prediction as US Consumer Confidence is Revealed – Is BTC Set to Rebound?

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Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Part of the Team Since

Sep 2022

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Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis...

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Last updated: 

June 26, 2024

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 100.4 in June from 101.3 in May, reflecting growing concerns about future economic conditions.

This sentiment shift has influenced Bitcoin prices, highlighting the intricate connection between traditional economic indicators and cryptocurrency markets.

As BTC/USD trades at $61,770, down 0.24%, the pivot point at $62,140 is crucial for determining the market trend and suggesting a bearish Bitcoin price prediction.

Let’s delve into more details.

US Consumer Confidence Falls as Inflation Concerns Persist, Impacting Bitcoin

Consumer confidence in the United States took a slight hit in June, reflecting growing unease among Americans about future economic conditions. This sentiment shift has also influenced Bitcoin prices, showcasing the intricate connection between traditional economic indicators and cryptocurrency markets.

June Confidence Index Declines

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dipped to 100.4 in June from a revised 101.3 in May. This decline, while expected by economists, highlights ongoing concerns about inflation and interest rates despite a strong labor market. According to Wells Fargo economists Shannon Seery Grein and Jeremiah Kohl, “The details continue to demonstrate a hesitant, but not overly concerned, consumer.”

Rising Economic Anxiety and Bitcoin Implications

Survey data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Consumer Finance Institute revealed that while there remains a net positive economic outlook, over one-third of respondents expressed concern about their ability to make ends meet in the next 7-12 months.

This unease can ripple into the cryptocurrency market, where Bitcoin (BTC) prices are often influenced by macroeconomic trends. Bitcoin, which had recently shown volatility, reflects broader market anxieties as investors seek safe-haven assets amidst economic uncertainty.

Consumer spending, which makes up nearly 70% of US economic activity, is being closely watched, especially with the presidential election approaching. Any significant shifts in consumer behavior can impact investor sentiment and, consequently, Bitcoin prices.

Mixed Sentiments on Economic Conditions

The Conference Board’s report indicated improved sentiments regarding the labor market, contrasting with cooling feelings about current business conditions. Dana Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board, noted, “If material weaknesses in the labor market appear, confidence could weaken as the year progresses.” The expectations index fell to 73, marking the 5th month below the recession threshold of 80.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin prices are showing sensitivity to these economic indicators. High inflation and interest rates can dampen consumer spending, potentially reducing speculative investments in assets like Bitcoin.

The present situation index rose slightly to 141.5, its highest since March, while persistent low expectations signal potential recession concerns.

The Philadelphia Fed’s LIFE Survey showed a sharp rise in anxiety about meeting financial obligations, with 26.2% of respondents in April 2024 expressing concern about paying bills, up from 20.7% in April 2023. Such economic strains can influence Bitcoin markets as investors reassess risk and seek stability.

In summary, the dip in US consumer confidence and ongoing economic challenges highlight the interconnectedness of traditional financial markets and cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading at $61,770, reflecting a minor decline of 0.24%. The 4-hour chart reveals that the pivot point at $62,140 is crucial for determining the market trend and suggesting a bearish Bitcoin price prediction.

The recent closing of doji candles below this level suggests a weaker uptrend, indicating potential selling pressure if Bitcoin remains below this pivot point.

Immediate resistance is found at $63,440, with subsequent levels at $64,510 and $65,710.

On the downside, immediate support is located at $60,620. A breach of this support could lead to further declines towards $59,670 and $58,630.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43, indicating neutral market conditions. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $63,505, acting as a significant resistance level.

Overall, Bitcoin’s technical outlook remains bearish below the pivot point of $62,140. The market could exhibit a selling trend if it fails to break above this level. Conversely, a move above the resistance at $63,440 could signal a shift towards a bullish trend.

Conclusion: Sell below $62,140. Traders should monitor the key support and resistance levels to anticipate potential shifts in market sentiment and price action.