Cryptonews Price Analysis

Bitcoin Price Rebounds – But Is a Crash to $73K or a Rally to $90K Next?

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Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

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Part of the Team Since

Sep 2022

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Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis...

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Last updated:

March 14, 2025

Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all of your capital.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Bitcoin (BTC) has bounced back above $80,000 after dipping to $76,000, signaling renewed investor interest. The latest rally follows softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which eased concerns over aggressive Federal Reserve policies.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin open interest surged past $46 billion, reflecting growing speculative activity and setting the stage for potential volatility.

Adding to the momentum, markets responded positively to progress in Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks. Betting odds on Polymarket for a ceasefire before 2025 climbed to 78%, suggesting traders anticipate reduced geopolitical uncertainty—a factor that could drive fresh capital inflows into Bitcoin and other digital assets.

How a Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Could Impact Bitcoin

The possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine has triggered optimism in global markets. If implemented, the reintegration of Russian energy supplies could lower operational costs for BTC miners, potentially boosting mining profitability.

Additionally, relaxed financial restrictions could allow capital from Russian investors to re-enter global crypto markets, increasing liquidity and institutional demand.

Polymarket data indicates that crypto bettors are betting on a ceasefire deal before the end of 2025, with over $5.6 million in active trades.

Historically, such geopolitical developments have influenced Bitcoin’s price by shaping investor sentiment.

Bitcoin Price Outlook: Key Resistance at $85K in Focus

Despite its recent gains, the BTC/USD faces strong resistance near $85,000, a level it has struggled to break. The cryptocurrency remains in a consolidation phase, with support levels around $78,500 and $75,200 providing a cushion against potential pullbacks.

BTC trading volume fell 22.6% to $102.2 billion, indicating reduced speculative activity.
Options open interest climbed 1.89% to $33.1 billion, signaling increased bullish positioning.
Long/Short ratio on major exchanges remains above 2.0, reflecting a tilt toward buying interest.

If Bitcoin manages to break and sustain above $85,000, it could pave the way for a rally toward $89,000 and beyond. However, failure to do so may lead to a deeper correction, potentially bringing BTC back toward the $73,000-$75,000 range.

Breakout or Rejection Ahead?

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading around $81,580, up 0.62%, after rebounding from key support near $78,500. The price remains below a descending trendline, with resistance at $83,800 acting as a major barrier.

A breakout above this level could push BTC toward $86,900 and $91,000, signaling a bullish shift.

However, failure to hold current gains may see BTC retesting support levels at $78,500 and $75,200. The 50-period EMA at $82,500 is acting as a dynamic resistance, reinforcing bearish sentiment.

Traders should watch for a decisive close above $83,800 to confirm upward momentum, while rejection could trigger further downside pressure.

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