Bitcoin Price Prediction: Fed Flags Tariff Inflation as BTC Hits $112K

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Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Part of the Team Since

Sep 2022

About Author

Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis...

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We believe in full transparency with our readers. Some of our content includes affiliate links, and we may earn a commission through these partnerships. However, this potential compensation never influences our analysis, opinions, or reviews. Our editorial content is created independently of our marketing partnerships, and our ratings are based solely on our established evaluation criteria. Read More

Last updated: 

July 9, 2025

The Federal Reserve’s June minutes, released July 9, highlighted growing concerns that tariffs could drive inflation higher for an extended period. While officials agreed to keep the federal funds rate steady, views diverged on future policy moves: some see it close to neutral, others noted a possible rate cut at July’s meeting, assuming economic data stays on track.

Key takeaway: Most members believe a rate cut is likely later this year, but only if inflationary pressures ease. That said, the minutes emphasize how “tariffs pose a persistent risk for driving up prices,” signaling that the Fed won’t rush to ease until it fully assesses structural inflation drivers.

Bitcoin Surges After Triangle Breakout

In parallel, Bitcoin ($BTC/USD) cracked higher after a textbook symmetrical triangle breakout on July 10. Price soared from the $109K zone to a high near $112,000, driven by heavy $56.8 billion trading volume and daily gains exceeding 2%. Its market cap now stands firmly around $2.2 trillion, reflecting renewed institutional interest.

The breakout tested its measured target, approximately 2.7% above the triangle range, before pulling back, forming a long upper wick that suggests short-term exhaustion. Still, momentum remains clear: the RSI stands at 78, confirming a strong bullish tilt, though overbought pressure suggests a mild pullback could be due.

On the technical front, the level to monitor is $110,550, the old triangle ceiling turned support. A sustained hold would confirm the validity of this breakout. Failure to do so—or a re-entry below $109,850—could trigger a deeper pullback.

Trade Setup: Breakout or Retest Strategy

This is a classic breakout-retest setup on Bitcoin, pairing macro caution with clear technical structure. The trade hinges on whether momentum continues or pauses for a retest.

Scenario 1: Breakout Continuation

• Entry: Close above $111,900 on 2H candle
• Stop-Loss: Below $110,550
• Target 1: $112,824
• Target 2: $113,417

A bullish engulfing candle above entry would confirm upside follow-through.

Scenario 2: Retest Entry

• Entry: Bounce near $110,550 (watch for hammer or morning star)
• Stop-Loss: Below $109,850
• Target 1: $112,000
• Target 2: $112,824

Overall, the Bitcoin price prediction remains bullish, while triangle breakouts often retrace for one more bottom test before resuming. If RSI cools while price holds support, that’s often the springboard for the next leg.

Bitcoin Hyper Presale Over $2M as Price Rise Nears

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), the first Bitcoin-native Layer 2 powered by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), has raised over $2 million in its public presale, with $2,061,881 out of a $2,510,240 target. The token is priced at $0.012175, with the next price tier expected to be announced soon.

Designed to merge Bitcoin’s security with Solana’s speed, Bitcoin Hyper enables fast, low-cost smart contracts, dApps, and meme coin creation, all with seamless BTC bridging. The project is audited by Consult and engineered for scalability, trust, and simplicity.

The golden cross of meme appeal and real utility has made Bitcoin Hyper a Layer 2 contender to watch in 2025. With staking, a streamlined presale, and a full rollout expected by Q1, $HYPER is gaining serious traction.