Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Price Pumps $2K Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Has a Rally Started?

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Bitcoin jumps $2K ahead of the Fed’s rate decision. Will a dovish FOMC trigger a rally, or will resistance near $115K cap BTC’s short-term momentum?
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Crypto Writer
Crypto Writer
Arslan ButtVerified
Part of the Team Since
Sep 2022
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Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis...

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Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all of your capital.

Bitcoin climbed nearly $2,000 in 24 hours, trading around $112,892 as markets brace for the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.00%, marking a potential turning point for U.S. monetary policy.

Fed Poised to Cut Rates to 4.00%

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.00% during Wednesday’s policy meeting, marking a pivotal shift in the U.S. monetary cycle. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 99.9% probability of a rate cut in October, with an additional easing expected by December.

The move follows softening manufacturing data and slowing inflation momentum, as the Richmond Fed Index and PCE readings point to cooling economic activity.

Probabilities of FOMC Rate Moves – Source: FedWatch

The decision will be accompanied by the FOMC statement at 18:00, followed by Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference at 18:30 where investors will scrutinize his tone for clues on the pace of future cuts.

A dovish signal could accelerate capital flows into risk assets, while a cautious stance may temporarily strengthen the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), currently hovering near 98.80.

Market Expectations and Economic Context

The Federal Reserve faces a careful balancing act, stimulating growth while keeping inflation near its 2% goal. Futures markets now price an 84.8% chance of another rate cut by December, likely bringing the target range to 3.75–4.00%.

Probabilities of FOMC Rate Moves – Source: FedWatch

Recent U.S. data shows resilience despite slowing momentum:

  • Consumer confidence rose to 94.6, beating expectations.
  • Home prices gained 1.6% year-on-year, signaling steady demand.
  • Manufacturing remains weak, reflecting uneven recovery.

If Chair Powell confirms confidence in a “soft landing,” risk assets like stocks and Bitcoin could extend gains on renewed liquidity hopes. However, any hint of inflation concern or reduced flexibility may dampen sentiment, keeping traders cautious heading into November.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Setup: $117K Key Breakout Zone

On the technical front, BTC/USD is holding above $112,900, testing resistance near $115,000, where a double-top pattern has formed.

The RSI is near 49, and the presence of Doji candles indicates indecision, though a hidden bullish divergence hints at accumulating buyer strength.

Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

A breakout above $117,600, the 0.618 Fibonacci level, could open targets at $120,500 and $124,150. Conversely, a drop below $112,250 may trigger a pullback toward $108,600 or $105,500.

Trade Setup: Traders may consider long positions above $113,000 with tight stops near $111,800, while short setups below $112,200 remain valid if momentum turns bearish.

Bitcoin Hyper: The Next Evolution of BTC on Solana?

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is bringing a new phase to the Bitcoin ecosystem. While BTC remains the gold standard for security, Bitcoin Hyper adds what it always lacked: Solana-level speed.

Built as the first Bitcoin-native Layer 2 powered by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), it merges Bitcoin’s stability with Solana’s high-performance framework. The result: lightning-fast, low-cost smart contracts, decentralized apps, and even meme coin creation, all secured by Bitcoin.

Audited by Consult, the project emphasizes trust and scalability as adoption builds. And momentum is already strong. The presale has surpassed $25.1 million, with tokens priced at just $0.013185 before the next increase.

As Bitcoin activity climbs and demand for efficient BTC-based apps rises, Bitcoin Hyper stands out as the bridge uniting two of crypto’s biggest ecosystems. If Bitcoin built the foundation, Bitcoin Hyper could make it fast, flexible, and fun again.

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